San Pablo Burgos vs Baskonia prediction
San Pablo Burgos
24
21
30
22
Baskonia
30
19
16
33
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
San Pablo Burgos9791Baskonia9894San Pablo Burgos9791Baskonia9894Total 185 Margin BAS by 3 Win BAS 60% Actual 195 · BAS won
San Pablo Burgos
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Baskonia
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
San Pablo Burgos vs Baskonia
San Pablo Burgos
Baskonia
Last 11 and 16 games with full stats · all competitions
San Pablo Burgos at home, last 5 games · Baskonia away, last 8
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: San Pablo Burgos 1, Baskonia 1.
- Average total 184.5 points per meeting
- Over 182.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting SPB by 11 Mar 15, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 15, 2026 ACB San Pablo Burgos 107–96 Baskonia 203 pts
- Dec 27, 2025 ACB Baskonia 89–77 San Pablo Burgos 166 pts
Last five games
San Pablo Burgos
3-2 - May 29: San Pablo Burgos 110, Granada 105. Won. No odds on record.
- May 24: Joventut Badalona 86, San Pablo Burgos 79. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 17: MoraBanc Andorra 83, San Pablo Burgos 85. Won. No odds on record.
- May 14: San Pablo Burgos 97, Unicaja 90. Won. No odds on record.
- May 9: Barcelona 91, San Pablo Burgos 76. Lost. No odds on record.
Baskonia
1-4 - Sep 24: Baskonia 89, Olympiacos 106. Lost. Odds: Baskonia 4.26, Olympiacos 1.21.
- Sep 19: Joventut Badalona 96, Baskonia 84. Lost. Odds: Joventut Badalona 1.41, Baskonia 2.74.
- Jun 7: Baskonia 88, Joventut Badalona 96. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jun 5: Joventut Badalona 82, Baskonia 63. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jun 3: Baskonia 85, Joventut Badalona 71. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-game losing streak for Baskonia coming into this game.
- Over/under moved up from 177.5 to 182.5 since it was first published.
- 13th vs 3rd in the ACB standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| SPB moneyline | 2.10 | moved up 2.23 |
| BAS moneyline | 1.64 | moved down 1.62 |
| Total points | 177.5 | moved up 182.5 |
| SPB spread | +2.5 | moved up +3.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
ACB standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Real Madrid |
6 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 654 | 526 | +128 |
| 2 |  Valencia |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 594 | 523 | +71 |
| 3 | Baskonia |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 567 | 497 | +70 |
| 4 |  Tenerife |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 527 | 479 | +48 |
| 5 |  Breogan |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 628 | 592 | +36 |
| 6 |  Basket Zaragoza |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 552 | 523 | +29 |
| 7 |  Barcelona |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 582 | 570 | +12 |
| 8 |  Bilbao |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 557 | 556 | +1 |
| 9 |  Unicaja |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 530 | 507 | +23 |
| 10 |  Murcia |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 560 | 563 | −3 |
| 11 |  Obradoiro CAB |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 533 | 576 | −43 |
| 12 |  Basquet Girona |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 543 | 594 | −51 |
| 13 | San Pablo Burgos |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 528 | 525 | +3 |
| 14 |  Joventut Badalona |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 551 | 549 | +2 |
| 15 |  Leyma Coruna |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 540 | 599 | −59 |
| 16 |  MoraBanc Andorra |
6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 507 | 579 | −72 |
| 17 |  Forca Lleida |
6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 557 | 641 | −84 |
| 18 |  Manresa |
6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 506 | 617 | −111 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation - Primera FEB
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
San Pablo Burgos host Baskonia in the ACB on Sunday, September 27, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.