San Lorenzo vs Obera TC Prediction & Odds — Oct 18

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Liga A Sunday, October 18, 2026Sun, Oct 18 Start10:05ET

San LorenzoHome · 1-3 · 16th · 1.56

7318261415

Obera TCAway · 1-4 · 17th · 2.30

7821251715

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

San Lorenzo 18 26 14 15

Obera TC 21 25 17 15

FT Polideportivo Roberto Pando · ArgentinaPolideportivo Roberto Pando

Best tip of the game

Point spread Won

SAN +6.5 1.28 85%

San Lorenzo +6.5 on the spread edge +5.6%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Won SAN +6.5 1.28 San Lorenzo +6.5 on the spread Confidence85% model 77.0% · market 71.4% edge +5.6%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 77%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.56 59.6% 54.8% +4.8% 67% Lost

Total points U167.5 1.50 67.8% 63.2% +4.6% 78% Won

Point spread SAN +6.5 1.28 77.0% 71.4% +5.6% 85% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

San Lorenzo7381

Obera TC7878

Total 159 actual 151

Winning margin SAN by 3 actual OBE by 5

Chance to win SAN 60% OBE won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

San Lorenzo7381

Obera TC7878

Total 159 Margin SAN by 3 Win SAN 60% Actual 151 · OBE won

Last five games

San Lorenzo 1-4

Oct 16: San Lorenzo 85, Penarol 92. Lost. Odds: San Lorenzo 1.73, Penarol 1.97.
Oct 8: San Lorenzo 89, Gimnasia 73. Won. Odds: San Lorenzo 2.50, Gimnasia 1.47.
Apr 18: Obras Sanitarias 76, San Lorenzo 70. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 14: Argentino 80, San Lorenzo 70. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 12: Racing de Chivilcoy 80, San Lorenzo 66. Lost. No odds on record.

Obera TC 0-5

Oct 16: Platense 86, Obera TC 80. Lost. Odds: Platense 1.57, Obera TC 1.91.
Oct 13: Obera TC 78, Racing de Chivilcoy 84. Lost. Odds: Obera TC 1.43, Racing de Chivilcoy 2.68.
Oct 9: Lanus 67, Obera TC 58. Lost. Odds: Lanus 1.79, Obera TC 1.92.
Oct 7: Boca Juniors 96, Obera TC 73. Lost. Odds: Boca Juniors 1.31, Obera TC 3.22.
May 14: Boca Juniors 86, Obera TC 78. Lost. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
SAN moneyline	1.84	moved down 1.56
OBE moneyline	1.74	moved up 2.30
Total points	160.5	moved up 162.5
SAN spread	+1.5	moved down −3.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

Liga A standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pct	PF	PA	+/−
1	Quimsa	6	6	0	1.000	506	443	+63
2	Penarol	5	4	1	.800	406	373	+33
3	Atenas	5	4	1	.800	434	419	+15
4	Gimnasia	8	6	2	.750	610	583	+27
5	Olimpico	5	3	2	.600	443	419	+24
6	Argentino	5	3	2	.600	403	394	+9
7	Instituto de Cordoba	5	3	2	.600	373	371	+2
8	Boca Juniors	6	3	3	.500	529	510	+19
9	Platense	6	3	3	.500	482	482	0
10	Independiente de Oliva	2	1	1	.500	200	190	+10
11	Racing de Chivilcoy	7	3	4	.429	576	590	−14
12	Lanus	8	3	5	.375	606	632	−26
13	Ferro	6	2	4	.333	492	513	−21
14	La Union	3	1	2	.333	244	252	−8
15	Regatas	4	1	3	.250	299	313	−14
16	San Lorenzo	4	1	3	.250	305	323	−18
17	Obera TC	5	1	4	.200	367	406	−39
18	San Martin	6	0	6	.000	509	571	−62

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Play Out

Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

San Lorenzo host Obera TC in the Liga A on Sunday, October 18, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.