San Lorenzo vs Gimnasia Prediction & Odds

Liga A Thursday, October 8, 2026Thu, Oct 8 Start21:05ET

San LorenzoHome · 1-3 · 16th · 2.50

8920182922

GimnasiaAway · 6-2 · 4th · 1.47

7322181419

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

San Lorenzo 20 18 29 22

Gimnasia 22 18 14 19

FT Polideportivo Roberto Pando · ArgentinaPolideportivo Roberto Pando

Best tip of the game

Total points Lost

U160.5 1.45 69%

Under 160.5 points edge +3.0%

Best tip of the game Total points · Lost U160.5 1.45 Under 160.5 points Confidence69% model 63.9% · market 60.9% edge +3.0%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 63%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 2.50 41.6% 34.3% +7.3% 51% Won

Total points U160.5 1.45 63.9% 60.9% +3.0% 69% Lost

Point spread SAN +5.5 1.69 61.5% 50.4% +11.1% 69% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

San Lorenzo8978

Gimnasia7376

Total 154 actual 162

Winning margin SAN by 2 actual SAN by 16

Chance to win SAN 57% SAN won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

San Lorenzo8978

Gimnasia7376

Total 154 Margin SAN by 2 Win SAN 57% Actual 162 · SAN won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 17+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

San Lorenzo Gimnasia

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

San Lorenzo vs Gimnasia

San Lorenzo Gimnasia

Last 19 and 7 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

San Lorenzo 0-5

Apr 18: Obras Sanitarias 76, San Lorenzo 70. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 14: Argentino 80, San Lorenzo 70. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 12: Racing de Chivilcoy 80, San Lorenzo 66. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 4: San Lorenzo 77, Boca Juniors 83. Lost. No odds on record.
Mar 30: San Lorenzo 73, Gimnasia 81. Lost. No odds on record.

Gimnasia 3-2

Oct 4: Gimnasia 92, La Union 86. Won. Odds: Gimnasia 1.29, La Union 3.31.
Sep 30: Penarol 62, Gimnasia 57. Lost. Odds: Penarol 2.13, Gimnasia 1.66.
Sep 28: Lanus 74, Gimnasia 92. Won. Odds: Lanus 2.25, Gimnasia 1.55.
Jun 20: Gimnasia 68, Quimsa 56. Won. No odds on record.
Jun 17: Quimsa 88, Gimnasia 60. Lost. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
SAN moneyline	2.70	moved down 2.50
GIM moneyline	1.41	moved up 1.47
Total points	156.5	moved down 154.5
SAN spread	+5.5	moved down +4.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

Liga A standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pct	PF	PA	+/−
1	Quimsa	6	6	0	1.000	506	443	+63
2	Penarol	5	4	1	.800	406	373	+33
3	Atenas	5	4	1	.800	434	419	+15
4	Gimnasia	8	6	2	.750	610	583	+27
5	Olimpico	5	3	2	.600	443	419	+24
6	Argentino	5	3	2	.600	403	394	+9
7	Instituto de Cordoba	5	3	2	.600	373	371	+2
8	Boca Juniors	6	3	3	.500	529	510	+19
9	Platense	6	3	3	.500	482	482	0
10	Independiente de Oliva	2	1	1	.500	200	190	+10
11	Racing de Chivilcoy	7	3	4	.429	576	590	−14
12	Lanus	8	3	5	.375	606	632	−26
13	Ferro	6	2	4	.333	492	513	−21
14	La Union	3	1	2	.333	244	252	−8
15	Regatas	4	1	3	.250	299	313	−14
16	San Lorenzo	4	1	3	.250	305	323	−18
17	Obera TC	5	1	4	.200	367	406	−39
18	San Martin	6	0	6	.000	509	571	−62

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Play Out

Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

San Lorenzo host Gimnasia in the Liga A on Thursday, October 8, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.