San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder prediction
San Antonio Spurs
28
16
36
24
Oklahoma City Thunder
34
31
28
23
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 70%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
San Antonio Spurs104111Oklahoma City Thunder116112San Antonio Spurs104111Oklahoma City Thunder116112Total 223 Margin OKC by 1 Win OKC 53% Actual 220 · OKC won
San Antonio Spurs
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Oklahoma City Thunder
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder
San Antonio Spurs
Oklahoma City Thunder
Last 6 games each with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: San Antonio Spurs 3, Oklahoma City Thunder 2.
- Average total 216.0 points per meeting
- Over 231.5 1 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting SAS by 8 May 30, 2026
Meetings
- May 30, 2026 NBA Oklahoma City Thunder 103–111 San Antonio Spurs 214 pts
- May 28, 2026 NBA San Antonio Spurs 118–91 Oklahoma City Thunder 209 pts
- May 26, 2026 NBA Oklahoma City Thunder 127–114 San Antonio Spurs 241 pts
- May 24, 2026 NBA San Antonio Spurs 103–82 Oklahoma City Thunder 185 pts
- May 22, 2026 NBA San Antonio Spurs 108–123 Oklahoma City Thunder 231 pts
Last five games
San Antonio Spurs
2-3 - Oct 16: San Antonio Spurs 126, Sacramento Kings 97. Won. Odds: San Antonio Spurs 1.11, Sacramento Kings 5.55.
- Oct 14: San Antonio Spurs 123, Phoenix Suns 103. Won. Odds: San Antonio Spurs 1.20, Phoenix Suns 4.30.
- Oct 12: Utah Jazz 119, San Antonio Spurs 109. Lost. Odds: Utah Jazz 1.43, San Antonio Spurs 2.68.
- Oct 10: Phoenix Suns 102, San Antonio Spurs 98. Lost. Odds: Phoenix Suns 3.02, San Antonio Spurs 1.35.
- Oct 8: San Antonio Spurs 116, Atlanta Hawks 123. Lost. Odds: San Antonio Spurs 1.33, Atlanta Hawks 3.05.
Oklahoma City Thunder
1-4 - Oct 15: Houston Rockets 116, Oklahoma City Thunder 89. Lost. Odds: Houston Rockets 2.11, Oklahoma City Thunder 1.68.
- Oct 13: Oklahoma City Thunder 114, Indiana Pacers 112. After overtime. Won. Odds: Oklahoma City Thunder 1.40, Indiana Pacers 2.80.
- Oct 12: Atlanta Hawks 113, Oklahoma City Thunder 110. Lost. Odds: Atlanta Hawks 1.45, Oklahoma City Thunder 2.61.
- Oct 7: Oklahoma City Thunder 126, Milwaukee Bucks 128. Lost. Odds: Oklahoma City Thunder 1.18, Milwaukee Bucks 4.46.
- Oct 6: Oklahoma City Thunder 110, New Orleans Pelicans 116. Lost. Odds: Oklahoma City Thunder 1.95, New Orleans Pelicans 1.85.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Net rating difference of 9.6 — San Antonio Spurs +7.8 per 100 possessions, Oklahoma City Thunder −1.8.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for San Antonio Spurs.
- +6.7 points at home — San Antonio Spurs averaged 118.2 at home and 111.5 away this season.
- −10.4 points away — Oklahoma City Thunder averaged 113.2 at home and 102.8 away this season.
- 1-4 in the last five for Oklahoma City Thunder.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| SAS moneyline | 1.65 | moved up 1.97 |
| OKC moneyline | 1.93 | moved down 1.85 |
| Total points | 230.5 | moved up 231.5 |
| SAS spread | −2.5 | moved up +1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBA standings
Pre-season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Memphis Grizzlies |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 470 | 443 | +27 |
| 2 |  Utah Jazz |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 453 | 439 | +14 |
| 3 |  New Orleans Pelicans |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 442 | 441 | +1 |
| 4 |  Golden State Warriors |
6 | 4 | 2 | .667 | 683 | 638 | +45 |
| 5 |  Houston Rockets |
3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 366 | 338 | +28 |
| 6 |  Portland Trail Blazers |
3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 351 | 344 | +7 |
| 7 |  Los Angeles Clippers |
3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 332 | 325 | +7 |
| 8 |  Denver Nuggets |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 578 | 571 | +7 |
| 9 |  Minnesota Timberwolves |
6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 697 | 709 | −12 |
| 10 | San Antonio Spurs |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 572 | 544 | +28 |
| 11 |  Los Angeles Lakers |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 534 | 559 | −25 |
| 12 |  Dallas Mavericks |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 457 | 486 | −29 |
| 13 |  Phoenix Suns |
5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 545 | 573 | −28 |
| 14 | Oklahoma City Thunder |
5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 549 | 585 | −36 |
| 15 |  Sacramento Kings |
5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 514 | 588 | −74 |
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
San Antonio Spurs host Oklahoma City Thunder in the NBA on Tuesday, October 20, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.