San Antonio Spurs vs Houston Rockets prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 82%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 219 Margin SAS by 5 Win SAS 64% Actual 224 · HOU won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
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Shooting
San Antonio Spurs vs Houston Rockets
Last 6 and 7 games with full stats · all competitions
San Antonio Spurs at home, last 4 games · Houston Rockets away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: San Antonio Spurs 3, Houston Rockets 1.
- Average total 230.8 points per meeting
- Over 224.5 2 of 4 against this game’s total
- Last meeting SAS by 25 Mar 8, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 8, 2026 NBA San Antonio Spurs 145–120 Houston Rockets 265 pts
- Jan 28, 2026 NBA Houston Rockets 99–111 San Antonio Spurs 210 pts
- Jan 20, 2026 NBA Houston Rockets 111–106 San Antonio Spurs 217 pts
- Nov 7, 2025 NBA San Antonio Spurs 121–110 Houston Rockets 231 pts
Last five games
- Oct 20: San Antonio Spurs 104, Oklahoma City Thunder 116. Lost. Odds: San Antonio Spurs 1.97, Oklahoma City Thunder 1.85.
- Oct 16: San Antonio Spurs 126, Sacramento Kings 97. Won. Odds: San Antonio Spurs 1.11, Sacramento Kings 5.55.
- Oct 14: San Antonio Spurs 123, Phoenix Suns 103. Won. Odds: San Antonio Spurs 1.20, Phoenix Suns 4.30.
- Oct 12: Utah Jazz 119, San Antonio Spurs 109. Lost. Odds: Utah Jazz 1.43, San Antonio Spurs 2.68.
- Oct 10: Phoenix Suns 102, San Antonio Spurs 98. Lost. Odds: Phoenix Suns 3.02, San Antonio Spurs 1.35.
- Oct 21: Houston Rockets 128, Dallas Mavericks 110. Won. Odds: Houston Rockets 1.23, Dallas Mavericks 4.40.
- Oct 15: Houston Rockets 116, Oklahoma City Thunder 89. Won. Odds: Houston Rockets 2.11, Oklahoma City Thunder 1.68.
- Oct 11: Houston Rockets 115, Dallas Mavericks 132. Lost. Odds: Houston Rockets 1.77, Dallas Mavericks 1.93.
- Oct 9: Dallas Mavericks 117, Houston Rockets 135. Won. Odds: Dallas Mavericks 2.13, Houston Rockets 1.63.
- May 1: Houston Rockets 78, Los Angeles Lakers 98. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-1 in the last 4 meetings for San Antonio Spurs.
- +6.7 points at home — San Antonio Spurs averaged 118.2 at home and 111.5 away this season.
- 230.8 points per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 224.5.
- 10th vs 5th in the NBA standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| SAS moneyline | 1.41 | moved up 1.52 |
| HOU moneyline | 3.00 | moved down 2.62 |
| Total points | 225.5 | moved down 224.5 |
| SAS spread | −6.5 | moved up −5.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBA standings
Pre-season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 470 | 443 | +27 | |
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 453 | 439 | +14 | |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 442 | 441 | +1 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | .667 | 683 | 638 | +45 | |
| 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 366 | 338 | +28 | |
| 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 351 | 344 | +7 | |
| 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 332 | 325 | +7 | |
| 8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 578 | 571 | +7 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 697 | 709 | −12 | |
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 572 | 544 | +28 | |
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 534 | 559 | −25 | |
| 12 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 457 | 486 | −29 | |
| 13 | 5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 545 | 573 | −28 | |
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 549 | 585 | −36 | |
| 15 | 5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 514 | 588 | −74 |
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
San Antonio Spurs host Houston Rockets in the NBA on Friday, October 23, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.