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San Antonio Spurs vs Houston Rockets prediction

NBA Friday, October 23, 2026Fri, Oct 23 Start21:30ET
San Antonio SpursHome · 4-2 · 10th · Moneyline odds up 1.52
1101st quarter 272nd quarter 323rd quarter 224th quarter 29
Houston RocketsAway · 6-1 · 5th · Moneyline odds down 2.62
1141st quarter 322nd quarter 293rd quarter 244th quarter 29
By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
San Antonio Spurs 27 32 22 29
Houston Rockets 32 29 24 29
FT Frost Bank Center · USAFrost Bank Center
Best tip of the game
Total points Won
U238.5 odds up 1.27 85% confidence
Under 238.5 points edge +10.1%
Best tip of the game Total points · Won U238.5 odds up 1.27 Under 238.5 points Confidence85% model 83.5% · market 73.4% edge +10.1%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 82%
Picks for this game
Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result
Moneyline 1 odds up 1.52 70.6% 71.4% −0.8% 85% Lost
Total points U238.5 odds up 1.27 83.5% 73.4% +10.1% 85% Won
Point spread HOU +15.5 1.23 62.4% 73.4% −11.0% 75% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.

Predicted final score
ActualPredicted
San Antonio Spurs110112
Houston Rockets114107
Total 219 actual 224
Winning margin SAS by 5 actual HOU by 4
Chance to win SAS 64% HOU won
Predicted final score
ActualPredicted
San Antonio Spurs110112
Houston Rockets114107

Total 219 Margin SAS by 5 Win SAS 64% Actual 224 · HOU won

San Antonio Spurs host Houston Rockets in the NBA on Friday, October 23, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.