San Antonio Spurs vs Atlanta Hawks prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 83%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 224 Margin SAS by 8 Win SAS 65% Actual 239 · ATL won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
San Antonio Spurs vs Atlanta Hawks
Last 6 and 7 games with full stats · all competitions
San Antonio Spurs at home, last 4 games · Atlanta Hawks away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: San Antonio Spurs 2, Atlanta Hawks 0.
- Average total 242.5 points per meeting
- Over 226.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting SAS by 28 Dec 19, 2025
Meetings
- Dec 19, 2025 NBA Atlanta Hawks 98–126 San Antonio Spurs 224 pts
- Nov 20, 2025 NBA San Antonio Spurs 135–126 Atlanta Hawks 261 pts
Last five games
- Jun 13: San Antonio Spurs 90, New York Knicks 94. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jun 10: New York Knicks 107, San Antonio Spurs 106. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jun 8: New York Knicks 111, San Antonio Spurs 115. Won. No odds on record.
- Jun 5: San Antonio Spurs 104, New York Knicks 105. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jun 3: San Antonio Spurs 95, New York Knicks 105. Lost. No odds on record.
- Oct 5: Atlanta Hawks 123, Memphis Grizzlies 132. Lost. Odds: Atlanta Hawks 1.65, Memphis Grizzlies 2.30.
- Apr 30: Atlanta Hawks 89, New York Knicks 140. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 28: New York Knicks 126, Atlanta Hawks 97. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 25: Atlanta Hawks 98, New York Knicks 114. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 23: Atlanta Hawks 109, New York Knicks 108. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-game losing streak for Atlanta Hawks coming into this game.
- Net rating difference of 7.9 — San Antonio Spurs +7.8 per 100 possessions, Atlanta Hawks −0.1.
- +6.7 points at home — San Antonio Spurs averaged 118.2 at home and 111.5 away this season.
- 1-4 in the last five for San Antonio Spurs.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| SAS moneyline | 1.35 | moved down 1.33 |
| ATL moneyline | 3.15 | moved down 3.05 |
| Total points | 227.5 | moved down 226.5 |
| SAS spread | −6.5 | moved down −8.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBA standings
Pre-season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 470 | 443 | +27 | |
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 453 | 439 | +14 | |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 442 | 441 | +1 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | .667 | 683 | 638 | +45 | |
| 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 366 | 338 | +28 | |
| 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 351 | 344 | +7 | |
| 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 332 | 325 | +7 | |
| 8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 578 | 571 | +7 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 697 | 709 | −12 | |
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 572 | 544 | +28 | |
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 534 | 559 | −25 | |
| 12 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 457 | 486 | −29 | |
| 13 | 5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 545 | 573 | −28 | |
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 549 | 585 | −36 | |
| 15 | 5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 514 | 588 | −74 |
Pre-season · Eastern Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1.000 | 507 | 432 | +75 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 613 | 586 | +27 | |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 497 | 464 | +33 | |
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 495 | 468 | +27 | |
| 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 474 | 452 | +22 | |
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 610 | 574 | +36 | |
| 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 640 | 612 | +28 | |
| 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 453 | 455 | −2 | |
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 612 | 584 | +28 | |
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 547 | 599 | −52 | |
| 11 | 3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 348 | 361 | −13 | |
| 12 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 479 | 473 | +6 | |
| 13 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 454 | 480 | −26 | |
| 14 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 386 | 444 | −58 | |
| 15 | 5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 530 | 621 | −91 |
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
San Antonio Spurs host Atlanta Hawks in the NBA on Thursday, October 8, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.