Sampaense vs Sangalhos prediction
Sampaense
21
18
22
24
Sangalhos
21
18
21
20
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 71%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Sampaense8579Sangalhos8071Sampaense8579Sangalhos8071Total 150 Margin SAM by 8 Win SAM 70% Actual 165 · SAM won
Sampaense
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Sangalhos
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Sampaense vs Sangalhos
Sampaense
Sangalhos
Last 27 games each with full stats · all competitions
Sampaense at home, last 12 games · Sangalhos away, last 14
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Sampaense 4, Sangalhos 0.
- Average total 152.0 points per meeting
- Over 151.5 2 of 4 against this game’s total
- Last meeting SAM by 5 Apr 4, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 4, 2026 Proliga Sangalhos 72–77 Sampaense 149 pts
- Feb 14, 2026 Proliga Sampaense 75–66 Sangalhos 141 pts
- Nov 29, 2025 Proliga Sampaense 79–76 Sangalhos 155 pts
- Oct 11, 2025 Proliga Sangalhos 79–84 Sampaense 163 pts
Last five games
Sampaense
3-2 - Oct 3: Vasco Da Gama 90, Sampaense 82. Lost. Odds: Vasco Da Gama 1.08, Sampaense 6.00.
- May 2: Sampaense 85, Academica 81. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 25: Galomar 88, Sampaense 78. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 19: Sampaense 87, Santo Andre 80. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 4: Sangalhos 72, Sampaense 77. Won. No odds on record.
Sangalhos
1-4 - Oct 3: Sangalhos 74, Galitos Barreiro 52. Won. Odds: Sangalhos 1.40, Galitos Barreiro 2.65.
- May 2: Benfica Lisboa B 100, Sangalhos 55. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 25: Sangalhos 61, Santo Andre 94. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 18: CB Queluz 88, Sangalhos 60. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 4: Sangalhos 72, Sampaense 77. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Sangalhos dropped from 1.95 to 1.38 since they were first published.
- 4-0 in the last 4 meetings for Sampaense.
- Net rating difference of 6.9 — Sampaense −6.4 per 100 possessions, Sangalhos −13.3.
- 1-4 in the last five for Sangalhos.
- 152.0 points per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 151.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| SAM moneyline | 1.74 | moved up 2.75 |
| SAN moneyline | 1.95 | moved down 1.38 |
| Total points | 151.5 | 151.5 |
| SAM spread | −3.5 | moved up +5.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Proliga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sangalhos |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 393 | 307 | +86 |
| 2 |  Galitos Aveiro |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 377 | 352 | +25 |
| 3 |  Santo Andre |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 395 | 371 | +24 |
| 4 | Sampaense |
5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 438 | 408 | +30 |
| 5 |  Lusitania |
5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 395 | 366 | +29 |
| 6 |  CB Queluz |
5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 355 | 355 | 0 |
| 7 |  Galitos Barreiro |
5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 360 | 361 | −1 |
| 8 |  Galomar |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 330 | 288 | +42 |
| 9 |  Vasco Da Gama |
5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 414 | 430 | −16 |
| 10 |  Illiabum |
5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 350 | 373 | −23 |
| 11 |  Barreirense |
5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 393 | 419 | −26 |
| 12 |  Maia |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 331 | 340 | −9 |
| 13 |  Ginasio Olhanense |
5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 402 | 456 | −54 |
| 14 |  Academica |
5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 396 | 430 | −34 |
| 15 |  Barcelos |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 268 | 303 | −35 |
| 16 |  Benfica Lisboa B |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 260 | 298 | −38 |
- LPB
- Playoffs
- Relegation
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Sampaense host Sangalhos in the Proliga on Saturday, October 10, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.