Sampaense vs Illiabum prediction
Sampaense
26
21
26
26
Illiabum
18
12
20
20
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Sampaense9967Illiabum7075Sampaense9967Illiabum7075Total 142 Margin ILL by 8 Win ILL 70% Actual 169 · SAM won
Sampaense
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Illiabum
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Sampaense vs Illiabum
Sampaense
Illiabum
Last 27 and 30 games with full stats · all competitions
Sampaense at home, last 12 games · Illiabum away, last 17
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Sampaense 0, Illiabum 2.
- Average total 161.5 points per meeting
- Over 146.5 2 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting ILL by 14 Jan 3, 2026
Meetings
- Jan 3, 2026 Proliga Illiabum 83–69 Sampaense 152 pts
- Nov 8, 2025 Proliga Sampaense 84–87 OT Illiabum 171 pts · OT
Last five games
Sampaense
2-3 - Oct 18: Benfica Lisboa B 69, Sampaense 67. Lost. Odds: Benfica Lisboa B 2.47, Sampaense 1.45.
- Oct 10: Sampaense 85, Sangalhos 80. Won. Odds: Sampaense 2.75, Sangalhos 1.38.
- Oct 3: Vasco Da Gama 90, Sampaense 82. Lost. Odds: Vasco Da Gama 1.08, Sampaense 6.00.
- May 2: Sampaense 85, Academica 81. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 25: Galomar 88, Sampaense 78. Lost. No odds on record.
Illiabum
2-3 - Oct 17: Illiabum 75, Galitos Barreiro 70. Won. Odds: Illiabum 1.61, Galitos Barreiro 2.17.
- Oct 10: CB Queluz 61, Illiabum 57. Lost. Odds: CB Queluz 2.45, Illiabum 1.49.
- Oct 3: Illiabum 85, Academica 75. Won. Odds: Illiabum 1.03, Academica 8.25.
- May 16: CAB Madeira 76, Illiabum 60. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 9: Illiabum 74, CAB Madeira 88. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Sampaense dropped from 3.15 to 2.70 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved up from 143.5 to 146.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 6.2 — Sampaense −6.4 per 100 possessions, Illiabum −0.2.
- 4th vs 10th in the Proliga standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| SAM moneyline | 3.15 | moved down 2.70 |
| ILL moneyline | 1.30 | moved up 1.40 |
| Total points | 143.5 | moved up 146.5 |
| SAM spread | +6.5 | moved down +5.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Proliga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sangalhos |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 393 | 307 | +86 |
| 2 |  Galitos Aveiro |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 377 | 352 | +25 |
| 3 |  Santo Andre |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 395 | 371 | +24 |
| 4 | Sampaense |
5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 438 | 408 | +30 |
| 5 |  Lusitania |
5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 395 | 366 | +29 |
| 6 |  CB Queluz |
5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 355 | 355 | 0 |
| 7 |  Galitos Barreiro |
5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 360 | 361 | −1 |
| 8 |  Galomar |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 330 | 288 | +42 |
| 9 |  Vasco Da Gama |
5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 414 | 430 | −16 |
| 10 | Illiabum |
5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 350 | 373 | −23 |
| 11 |  Barreirense |
5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 393 | 419 | −26 |
| 12 |  Maia |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 331 | 340 | −9 |
| 13 |  Ginasio Olhanense |
5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 402 | 456 | −54 |
| 14 |  Academica |
5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 396 | 430 | −34 |
| 15 |  Barcelos |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 268 | 303 | −35 |
| 16 |  Benfica Lisboa B |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 260 | 298 | −38 |
- LPB
- Playoffs
- Relegation
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Sampaense host Illiabum in the Proliga on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.