Sampaense vs Academica prediction
Sampaense
33
21
24
27
Academica
20
32
28
19
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 70%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Sampaense10576Academica9970Sampaense10576Academica9970Total 146 Margin SAM by 6 Win SAM 68% Actual 204 · SAM won
Sampaense
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Academica
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Sampaense vs Academica
Sampaense
Academica
Last 27 and 30 games with full stats · all competitions
Sampaense at home, last 12 games · Academica away, last 16
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Sampaense 3, Academica 1.
- Average total 140.3 points per meeting
- Over 156.5 1 of 4 against this game’s total
- Last meeting SAM by 4 May 2, 2026
Meetings
- May 2, 2026 Proliga Sampaense 85–81 Academica 166 pts
- Mar 7, 2026 Proliga Academica 67–54 Sampaense 121 pts
- Jan 10, 2026 Proliga Sampaense 81–60 Academica 141 pts
- Nov 15, 2025 Proliga Academica 58–75 Sampaense 133 pts
Last five games
Sampaense
3-2 - Oct 24: Sampaense 99, Illiabum 70. Won. Odds: Sampaense 2.70, Illiabum 1.40.
- Oct 18: Benfica Lisboa B 69, Sampaense 67. Lost. Odds: Benfica Lisboa B 2.47, Sampaense 1.45.
- Oct 10: Sampaense 85, Sangalhos 80. Won. Odds: Sampaense 2.75, Sangalhos 1.38.
- Oct 3: Vasco Da Gama 90, Sampaense 82. Lost. Odds: Vasco Da Gama 1.08, Sampaense 6.00.
- May 2: Sampaense 85, Academica 81. Won. No odds on record.
Academica
0-5 - Oct 24: Galitos Barreiro 88, Academica 80. Lost. Odds: Galitos Barreiro 1.22, Academica 3.50.
- Oct 17: Academica 69, CB Queluz 74. Lost. Odds: Academica 1.94, CB Queluz 1.76.
- Oct 10: Academica 73, Santo Andre 78. Lost. Odds: Academica 2.45, Santo Andre 1.47.
- Oct 3: Illiabum 85, Academica 75. Lost. Odds: Illiabum 1.03, Academica 8.25.
- May 2: Sampaense 85, Academica 81. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 10+ straight losses for Academica coming into this game.
- 3-1 in the last 4 meetings for Sampaense.
- 140.3 points per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 156.5.
- 4th vs 14th in the Proliga standings.
- Different pace — Sampaense averaged 72.0 possessions per game, Academica 77.0.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| SAM moneyline | 1.40 | moved down 1.33 |
| ACA moneyline | 2.60 | moved up 2.88 |
| Total points | 156.5 | 156.5 |
| SAM spread | −5.5 | moved down −6.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Proliga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sangalhos |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 393 | 307 | +86 |
| 2 |  Galitos Aveiro |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 377 | 352 | +25 |
| 3 |  Santo Andre |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 395 | 371 | +24 |
| 4 | Sampaense |
5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 438 | 408 | +30 |
| 5 |  Lusitania |
5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 395 | 366 | +29 |
| 6 |  CB Queluz |
5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 355 | 355 | 0 |
| 7 |  Galitos Barreiro |
5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 360 | 361 | −1 |
| 8 |  Galomar |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 330 | 288 | +42 |
| 9 |  Vasco Da Gama |
5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 414 | 430 | −16 |
| 10 |  Illiabum |
5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 350 | 373 | −23 |
| 11 |  Barreirense |
5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 393 | 419 | −26 |
| 12 |  Maia |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 331 | 340 | −9 |
| 13 |  Ginasio Olhanense |
5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 402 | 456 | −54 |
| 14 | Academica |
5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 396 | 430 | −34 |
| 15 |  Barcelos |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 268 | 303 | −35 |
| 16 |  Benfica Lisboa B |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 260 | 298 | −38 |
- LPB
- Playoffs
- Relegation
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Sampaense host Academica in the Proliga on Friday, October 30, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.