Samobor vs Alkar Prediction & Odds

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 71%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.44 62.2% 72.8% −10.6% 74% Lost

Total points U167.5 1.40 67.5% 65.6% +1.9% 85% Lost

Point spread SAM -8.5 2.30 51.8% 50.0% +1.8% 54% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Samobor9185

Alkar9575

Total 160 actual 186

Winning margin SAM by 10 actual ALK by 4

Chance to win SAM 72% ALK won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Samobor9185

Alkar9575

Total 160 Margin SAM by 10 Win SAM 72% Actual 186 · ALK won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 20+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Samobor large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Alkar

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Other

Shooting

Samobor vs Alkar

Samobor Alkar

Last 8 games each with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Head-to-head

Average total 145.7 points per meeting
Over 160.5 0 of 3 against this game’s total
Last meeting ALK by 4 Mar 14, 2026

Meetings

Mar 14, 2026 Premijer liga Alkar 6965 Samobor 134 pts
Jan 25, 2026 Premijer liga Samobor 7177 Alkar 148 pts
Nov 9, 2025 Premijer liga Alkar 7679 Samobor 155 pts

Last five games

Samobor 0-5

Sep 30: BC Prievidza 98, Samobor 65. Lost. Odds: BC Prievidza 1.18, Samobor 4.05.
Sep 27: Zadar 81, Samobor 59. Lost. Odds: Zadar 1.05, Samobor 7.50.
Sep 23: Samobor 83, BC Prievidza 103. Lost. Odds: Samobor 1.67, BC Prievidza 2.05.
May 16: Dubrovnik 77, Samobor 69. Lost. No odds on record.
May 13: Samobor 81, Dubrovnik 86. Lost. No odds on record.

Alkar 2-3

Sep 30: Zrinjski Mostar 87, Alkar 92. After overtime. Won. Odds: Zrinjski Mostar 1.78, Alkar 1.90.
Sep 27: Alkar 78, Cibona 84. Lost. Odds: Alkar 5.60, Cibona 1.11.
May 9: Dubrovnik 87, Alkar 70. Lost. No odds on record.
May 1: GKK Sibenka 91, Alkar 88. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 25: Alkar 77, Dinamo Zagreb 72. Won. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

Key insights

5-game losing streak for Samobor coming into this game.
Odds moved: the odds on Alkar dropped from 4.00 to 2.67 since they were first published.
Net rating difference of 10.7 — Samobor −14.3 per 100 possessions, Alkar −3.6.
2-1 in the last 3 meetings for Alkar.
145.7 points per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 160.5.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
SAM moneyline	1.20	moved up 1.42
ALK moneyline	4.00	moved down 2.67
Total points	160.5	160.5
SAM spread	−8.5	moved up −6.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

Premijer liga standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Zadar	6	6	0	12	551	389	+162
2	Cibona	6	6	0	12	544	463	+81
3	Kvarner	6	4	2	10	542	478	+64
4	Split	6	4	2	10	491	453	+38
5	Dinamo Zagreb	6	4	2	10	460	487	−27
6	Skrljevo	6	3	3	9	484	510	−26
7	Virtus Zagreb	6	3	3	9	480	537	−57
8	Zabok	6	2	4	8	475	502	−27
9	Dubrovnik	6	2	4	8	479	530	−51
10	Alkar	6	1	5	7	474	507	−33
11	Samobor	6	1	5	7	461	506	−45
12	Dubrava	6	0	6	6	441	520	−79

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Relegation
Relegation - Prva Liga

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Samobor vs Alkar prediction