SAM Massagno vs Neuchatel prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 61%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 163 Margin NEU by 11 Win NEU 72% Actual 179 · MAS won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
SAM Massagno vs Neuchatel
Last 6 games each with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: SAM Massagno 1, Neuchatel 2.
- Average total 175.0 points per meeting
- Over 159.5 2 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting MAS by 12 Mar 28, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 28, 2026 SB League SAM Massagno 99–87 Neuchatel 186 pts
- Feb 7, 2026 SB League Neuchatel 99–92 SAM Massagno 191 pts
- Nov 16, 2025 SB League SAM Massagno 53–95 Neuchatel 148 pts
Last five games
- Sep 30: SAM Massagno 90, Lausanne Basket 84. Won. Odds: SAM Massagno 2.09, Lausanne Basket 1.69.
- Sep 26: Regio Basel 73, SAM Massagno 91. Won. Odds: Regio Basel 2.19, SAM Massagno 1.63.
- Apr 25: SAM Massagno 86, Regio Basel 89. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 22: Regio Basel 92, SAM Massagno 87. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 19: Regio Basel 112, SAM Massagno 82. Lost. No odds on record.
- Sep 30: Neuchatel 69, Lugano Tigers 61. Won. Odds: Neuchatel 1.65, Lugano Tigers 2.15.
- Sep 27: Fribourg Olympic 75, Neuchatel 68. Lost. Odds: Fribourg Olympic –, Neuchatel 21.00.
- Apr 30: Neuchatel 70, Lausanne Basket 71. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 28: Lausanne Basket 85, Neuchatel 82. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 25: Lausanne Basket 93, Neuchatel 77. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on SAM Massagno dropped from 1.67 to 1.26 since they were first published.
- Net rating difference of 25.2 — SAM Massagno +16.6 per 100 possessions, Neuchatel −8.6.
- 2-1 in the last 3 meetings for Neuchatel.
- 1-4 in the last five for Neuchatel.
- 175.0 points per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 159.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| MAS moneyline | 1.67 | moved down 1.26 |
| NEU moneyline | 2.07 | moved up 3.40 |
| Total points | 159.5 | 159.5 |
| MAS spread | −8.5 | −8.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
SB League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 14 | 660 | 414 | +246 | |
| 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 601 | 459 | +142 | |
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 642 | 549 | +93 | |
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 594 | 536 | +58 | |
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 594 | 544 | +50 | |
| 6 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 477 | 537 | −60 | |
| 7 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 557 | 615 | −58 | |
| 8 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 524 | 619 | −95 | |
| 9 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 472 | 620 | −148 | |
| 10 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 412 | 640 | −228 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
SAM Massagno host Neuchatel in the SB League on Saturday, October 3, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.