Salon Vilpas vs KTP Kotka Basket prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 73%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 174 Margin SAL by 6 Win SAL 67% Actual 183 · KKB won
Salon Vilpas vs KTP Kotka Basket
Last 14 and 9 games with full stats · all competitions
Salon Vilpas at home, last 6 games · KTP Kotka Basket away, last 5
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Salon Vilpas 3, KTP Kotka Basket 1.
- Average total 163.5 points per meeting
- Over 172.5 0 of 4 against this game’s total
- Last meeting KKB by 6 Mar 13, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 13, 2026 Korisliiga KTP Kotka Basket 83–77 Salon Vilpas 160 pts
- Feb 14, 2026 Korisliiga Salon Vilpas 88–75 KTP Kotka Basket 163 pts
- Dec 30, 2025 Korisliiga KTP Kotka Basket 71–93 Salon Vilpas 164 pts
- Oct 24, 2025 Korisliiga Salon Vilpas 89–78 KTP Kotka Basket 167 pts
Last five games
- Oct 10: Salon Vilpas 95, UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki 73. Won. Odds: Salon Vilpas 1.20, UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki 4.23.
- Oct 7: AEK Athens 95, Salon Vilpas 93. Lost. Odds: AEK Athens 1.04, Salon Vilpas 9.00.
- Oct 3: Pyrinto Tampere 79, Salon Vilpas 97. Won. Odds: Pyrinto Tampere 3.68, Salon Vilpas 1.25.
- Sep 29: Salon Vilpas 104, Honka 107. Lost. Odds: Salon Vilpas 1.08, Honka 6.69.
- Sep 23: Bisons Loimaa 74, Salon Vilpas 101. Won. Odds: Bisons Loimaa 2.17, Salon Vilpas 1.64.
- Oct 9: KTP Kotka Basket 88, Pyrinto Tampere 72. Won. Odds: KTP Kotka Basket 1.44, Pyrinto Tampere 2.70.
- Oct 3: Karhu Basket 78, KTP Kotka Basket 84. Won. Odds: Karhu Basket 2.15, KTP Kotka Basket 1.62.
- Sep 29: KTP Kotka Basket 87, Bisons Loimaa 64. Won. Odds: KTP Kotka Basket 1.19, Bisons Loimaa 4.32.
- Sep 16: KTP Kotka Basket 86, Kipina 78. Won. Odds: KTP Kotka Basket 1.06, Kipina 7.54.
- Sep 9: Karhu Basket 88, KTP Kotka Basket 95. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 5-game winning streak for KTP Kotka Basket coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on KTP Kotka Basket dropped from 4.40 to 2.88 since they were first published.
- 3-1 in the last 4 meetings for Salon Vilpas.
- 163.5 points per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 172.5.
- 4th vs 1st in the Korisliiga standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| SAL moneyline | 1.17 | moved up 1.38 |
| KKB moneyline | 4.40 | moved down 2.88 |
| Total points | 171.5 | moved up 172.5 |
| SAL spread | −10.5 | moved up −6.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Korisliiga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 760 | 667 | +93 | |
| 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 778 | 701 | +77 | |
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 824 | 786 | +38 | |
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 696 | 633 | +63 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 630 | 657 | −27 | |
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 694 | 697 | −3 | |
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 644 | 689 | −45 | |
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 690 | 692 | −2 | |
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 668 | 682 | −14 | |
| 10 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 692 | 726 | −34 | |
| 11 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 585 | 684 | −99 | |
| 12 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 702 | 749 | −47 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation - I Divisioona A
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Salon Vilpas host KTP Kotka Basket in the Korisliiga on Wednesday, October 14, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.