Saga vs NeoPhoenix Prediction & Odds

B League Sunday, October 4, 2026Sun, Oct 4 Start01:05ET

SagaHome · 3.57

8919203119

NeoPhoenixAway · 1.26

9326252022

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Saga 19 20 31 19

NeoPhoenix 26 25 20 22

FT Saga Arena · JapanSaga Arena

Best tip of the game

Point spread Won

SAG +15.5 1.29 71%

Saga +15.5 on the spread edge −10.0%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Won SAG +15.5 1.29 Saga +15.5 on the spread Confidence71% model 60.5% · market 70.5% edge −10.0%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 80%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 2 1.26 67.2% 74.7% −7.5% 84% Won

Total points U173.5 1.53 67.7% 65.4% +2.3% 85% Lost

Point spread SAG +15.5 1.29 60.5% 70.5% −10.0% 71% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Saga8979

NeoPhoenix9386

Total 165 actual 182

Winning margin NEO by 7 actual NEO by 4

Chance to win NEO 67% NEO won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Saga8979

NeoPhoenix9386

Total 165 Margin NEO by 7 Win NEO 67% Actual 182 · NEO won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 20+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Saga large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction NeoPhoenix

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Saga vs NeoPhoenix

Saga NeoPhoenix

Last 12 and 8 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Saga 2-3

Oct 3: Saga 61, NeoPhoenix 97. Lost. Odds: Saga 2.42, NeoPhoenix 1.52.
Sep 27: Saga 61, Hiroshima D. 89. Lost. Odds: Saga 1.70, Hiroshima D. 2.07.
Sep 25: Saga 87, Hiroshima D. 100. Lost. Odds: Saga 1.62, Hiroshima D. 2.15.
May 3: Akita 70, Saga 87. Won. No odds on record.
May 2: Akita 72, Saga 85. Won. No odds on record.

NeoPhoenix 5-0

Oct 3: Saga 61, NeoPhoenix 97. Won. Odds: Saga 2.42, NeoPhoenix 1.52.
Sep 27: Ibaraki Robots 75, NeoPhoenix 81. Won. Odds: Ibaraki Robots 2.10, NeoPhoenix 1.65.
Sep 25: Ibaraki Robots 82, NeoPhoenix 90. Won. Odds: Ibaraki Robots 1.77, NeoPhoenix 1.92.
May 3: NeoPhoenix 93, Diamond Dolphins 79. Won. No odds on record.
May 2: NeoPhoenix 89, Diamond Dolphins 66. Won. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
SAG moneyline	3.60	moved down 3.57
NEO moneyline	1.22	moved up 1.26
Total points	166.5	moved up 169.5
SAG spread	+8.5	moved down +7.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

B League standings

Regular Season · Western Conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	+/−
1	NeoPhoenix	0	0	0	0	0
2	Shiga	0	0	0	0	0
3	Osaka	0	0	0	0	0
4	Ryukyu	0	0	0	0	0
5	Kyoto	0	0	0	0	0
6	SeaHorses Mikawa	0	0	0	0	0
7	Diamond Dolphins	0	0	0	0	0
8	Shimane	0	0	0	0	0
9	Shinshu	0	0	0	0	0
10	Kobe	0	0	0	0	0
11	Hiroshima D.	0	0	0	0	0
12	Nagasaki	0	0	0	0	0
13	Saga	0	0	0	0	0

Playoffs: Quarter-finals

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Saga host NeoPhoenix in the B League on Sunday, October 4, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.