Saga vs Nagasaki Prediction & Odds

B League Wednesday, October 21, 2026Wed, Oct 21 Start06:05ET

SagaHome · 3.30

6620151714

NagasakiAway · 1.29

8424241719

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Saga 20 15 17 14

Nagasaki 24 24 17 19

FT Saga Arena · JapanSaga Arena

Best tip of the game

Point spread Lost

SAG +15.5 1.26 85%

Saga +15.5 on the spread edge +3.7%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Lost SAG +15.5 1.26 Saga +15.5 on the spread Confidence85% model 76.7% · market 73.0% edge +3.7%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 73%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 3.30 37.5% 31.1% +6.4% 51% Lost

Total points U166.5 1.46 66.5% 65.6% +0.9% 83% Won

Point spread SAG +15.5 1.26 76.7% 73.0% +3.7% 85% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Saga6680

Nagasaki8479

Total 159 actual 150

Winning margin SAG by 1 actual NAG by 18

Chance to win SAG 53% NAG won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Saga6680

Nagasaki8479

Total 159 Margin SAG by 1 Win SAG 53% Actual 150 · NAG won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 9+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Saga large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Nagasaki

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Saga vs Nagasaki

Saga Nagasaki

Last 12 and 15 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Saga 1-4

Oct 18: Kyoto 115, Saga 70. Lost. Odds: Kyoto 1.16, Saga 4.57.
Oct 16: Saga 90, Levanga Hokkaido 109. Lost. Odds: Saga 4.39, Levanga Hokkaido 1.19.
Oct 12: Saga 61, Gunma 72. Lost. Odds: Saga 4.14, Gunma 1.21.
Oct 10: Kobe 77, Saga 84. Won. Odds: Kobe 1.54, Saga 2.35.
Oct 8: Alvark 90, Saga 74. Lost. Odds: Alvark 1.22, Saga 3.80.

Nagasaki 2-3

Oct 19: Nagasaki 65, Altiri Chiba 82. Lost. Odds: Nagasaki 1.65, Altiri Chiba 2.12.
Oct 17: Tokyo Sunrockers 95, Nagasaki 63. Lost. Odds: Tokyo Sunrockers 1.37, Nagasaki 2.32.
Oct 14: Nagasaki 83, KCC Egis 98. Lost. Odds: Nagasaki 1.37, KCC Egis 2.80.
Oct 12: Nagasaki 85, Kobe 69. Won. Odds: Nagasaki 1.44, Kobe 2.64.
Oct 10: Nagasaki 70, Gunma 59. Won. Odds: Nagasaki 3.15, Gunma 1.28.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
SAG moneyline	3.35	moved down 3.30
NAG moneyline	1.29	1.29
Total points	159.5	moved up 160.5
SAG spread	+7.5	moved down +4.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

B League standings

Regular Season · Western Conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	+/−
1	NeoPhoenix	0	0	0	0	0
2	Shiga	0	0	0	0	0
3	Osaka	0	0	0	0	0
4	Ryukyu	0	0	0	0	0
5	Kyoto	0	0	0	0	0
6	SeaHorses Mikawa	0	0	0	0	0
7	Diamond Dolphins	0	0	0	0	0
8	Shimane	0	0	0	0	0
9	Shinshu	0	0	0	0	0
10	Kobe	0	0	0	0	0
11	Hiroshima D.	0	0	0	0	0
12	Nagasaki	0	0	0	0	0
13	Saga	0	0	0	0	0

Playoffs: Quarter-finals

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Saga host Nagasaki in the B League on Wednesday, October 21, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.