Saga vs Alvark Prediction & Odds

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 75%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 2 1.02 79.9% 90.7% −10.8% 85% Won

Total points O162.5 1.37 60.7% 65.4% −4.7% 71% Won

Point spread ALV -9.5 1.28 59.0% 71.4% −12.4% 68% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Saga8876

Alvark11296

Total 172 actual 200

Winning margin ALV by 20 actual ALV by 24

Chance to win ALV 90% ALV won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Saga8876

Alvark11296

Total 172 Margin ALV by 20 Win ALV 90% Actual 200 · ALV won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 10+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Saga large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Alvark

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Saga vs Alvark

Saga Alvark

Last 12 and 14 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Head-to-head

Average total 162.8 points per meeting
Over 170.5 1 of 5 against this game’s total
Last meeting ALV by 16 Oct 8, 2026

Meetings

Oct 8, 2026 B League Alvark 9074 Saga 164 pts
Feb 15, 2026 B League Alvark 9683 Saga 179 pts
Feb 14, 2026 B League Alvark 7871 Saga 149 pts
Dec 7, 2025 B League Saga 9077 Alvark 167 pts
Dec 6, 2025 B League Saga 9164 Alvark 155 pts

Last five games

Saga 1-4

Oct 21: Saga 66, Nagasaki 84. Lost. Odds: Saga 3.30, Nagasaki 1.29.
Oct 18: Kyoto 115, Saga 70. Lost. Odds: Kyoto 1.16, Saga 4.57.
Oct 16: Saga 90, Levanga Hokkaido 109. Lost. Odds: Saga 4.39, Levanga Hokkaido 1.19.
Oct 12: Saga 61, Gunma 72. Lost. Odds: Saga 4.14, Gunma 1.21.
Oct 10: Kobe 77, Saga 84. Won. Odds: Kobe 1.54, Saga 2.35.

Alvark 3-2

Oct 24: Alvark 82, SeaHorses Mikawa 91. Lost. Odds: Alvark 1.65, SeaHorses Mikawa 2.12.
Oct 22: Alvark 66, Ibaraki Robots 69. Lost. Odds: Alvark 1.18, Ibaraki Robots 4.30.
Oct 19: Alvark 90, Akita 74. Won. Odds: Alvark 1.02, Akita 11.00.
Oct 17: Gunma 86, Alvark 100. Won. Odds: Gunma 1.52, Alvark 2.37.
Oct 14: Alvark 113, Xac Broncos 78. Won. Odds: Alvark 1.08, Xac Broncos 6.10.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

Key insights

4-game losing streak for Saga coming into this game.
Rest advantage: 4 days off for Saga, 1 for Alvark.
0-8 at home for Saga this season.
6-0 away for Alvark this season.
Net rating difference of 44.8 — Saga −25.0 per 100 possessions, Alvark +19.8.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
SAG moneyline	10.00	moved up 10.30
ALV moneyline	1.03	moved down 1.02
Total points	169.5	moved up 170.5
SAG spread	+16.5	moved up +21.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

B League standings

Regular Season · Western Conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	+/−
1	NeoPhoenix	0	0	0	0	0
2	Shiga	0	0	0	0	0
3	Osaka	0	0	0	0	0
4	Ryukyu	0	0	0	0	0
5	Kyoto	0	0	0	0	0
6	SeaHorses Mikawa	0	0	0	0	0
7	Diamond Dolphins	0	0	0	0	0
8	Shimane	0	0	0	0	0
9	Shinshu	0	0	0	0	0
10	Kobe	0	0	0	0	0
11	Hiroshima D.	0	0	0	0	0
12	Nagasaki	0	0	0	0	0
13	Saga	0	0	0	0	0

Regular Season · Eastern Conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	+/−
1	Sendai	0	0	0	0	0
2	Toyama	0	0	0	0	0
3	Tokyo Sunrockers	0	0	0	0	0
4	Utsunomiya Brex	0	0	0	0	0
5	Levanga Hokkaido	0	0	0	0	0
6	Alvark	0	0	0	0	0
7	Brave Thunders	0	0	0	0	0
8	Akita	0	0	0	0	0
9	Yokohama	0	0	0	0	0
10	Chiba	0	0	0	0	0
11	Gunma	0	0	0	0	0
12	Ibaraki Robots	0	0	0	0	0
13	Altiri Chiba	0	0	0	0	0

Playoffs: Quarter-finals

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Saga vs Alvark prediction