Sacramento Kings vs Los Angeles Lakers prediction
Sacramento Kings
28
19
30
26
Los Angeles Lakers
36
37
26
28
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 76%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Sacramento Kings103113Los Angeles Lakers127111Sacramento Kings103113Los Angeles Lakers127111Total 224 Margin SAC by 2 Win SAC 57% Actual 230 · LAL won
Sacramento Kings
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Los Angeles Lakers
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Sacramento Kings vs Los Angeles Lakers
Sacramento Kings
Los Angeles Lakers
Last 6 and 7 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Sacramento Kings 1, Los Angeles Lakers 4.
- Average total 233.0 points per meeting
- Over 228.5 3 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting LAL by 4 Oct 8, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 8, 2026 NBA Los Angeles Lakers 114–110 Sacramento Kings 224 pts
- Mar 1, 2026 NBA Los Angeles Lakers 128–104 Sacramento Kings 232 pts
- Jan 12, 2026 NBA Sacramento Kings 124–112 Los Angeles Lakers 236 pts
- Dec 28, 2025 NBA Los Angeles Lakers 125–101 Sacramento Kings 226 pts
- Oct 26, 2025 NBA Sacramento Kings 120–127 Los Angeles Lakers 247 pts
Last five games
Sacramento Kings
2-3 - Apr 12: Portland Trail Blazers 122, Sacramento Kings 110. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 10: Sacramento Kings 124, Golden State Warriors 118. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 7: Golden State Warriors 110, Sacramento Kings 105. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 5: Sacramento Kings 109, Los Angeles Clippers 138. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 3: Sacramento Kings 117, New Orleans Pelicans 113. Won. No odds on record.
Los Angeles Lakers
1-4 - May 11: Los Angeles Lakers 110, Oklahoma City Thunder 115. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 9: Los Angeles Lakers 108, Oklahoma City Thunder 131. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 7: Oklahoma City Thunder 125, Los Angeles Lakers 107. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 5: Oklahoma City Thunder 108, Los Angeles Lakers 90. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 1: Houston Rockets 78, Los Angeles Lakers 98. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-game losing streak for Los Angeles Lakers coming into this game.
- Net rating difference of 22.7 — Sacramento Kings −18.2 per 100 possessions, Los Angeles Lakers +4.5.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Los Angeles Lakers.
- 233.0 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 228.5.
- 15th vs 11th in the NBA standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| SAC moneyline | 2.50 | moved down 2.28 |
| LAL moneyline | 1.52 | moved up 1.58 |
| Total points | 229.5 | moved down 228.5 |
| SAC spread | +4.5 | +4.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBA standings
Pre-season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Memphis Grizzlies |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 470 | 443 | +27 |
| 2 |  Utah Jazz |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 453 | 439 | +14 |
| 3 |  New Orleans Pelicans |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 442 | 441 | +1 |
| 4 |  Golden State Warriors |
6 | 4 | 2 | .667 | 683 | 638 | +45 |
| 5 |  Houston Rockets |
3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 366 | 338 | +28 |
| 6 |  Portland Trail Blazers |
3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 351 | 344 | +7 |
| 7 |  Los Angeles Clippers |
3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 332 | 325 | +7 |
| 8 |  Denver Nuggets |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 578 | 571 | +7 |
| 9 |  Minnesota Timberwolves |
6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 697 | 709 | −12 |
| 10 |  San Antonio Spurs |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 572 | 544 | +28 |
| 11 | Los Angeles Lakers |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 534 | 559 | −25 |
| 12 |  Dallas Mavericks |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 457 | 486 | −29 |
| 13 |  Phoenix Suns |
5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 545 | 573 | −28 |
| 14 |  Oklahoma City Thunder |
5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 549 | 585 | −36 |
| 15 | Sacramento Kings |
5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 514 | 588 | −74 |
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Sacramento Kings host Los Angeles Lakers in the NBA on Monday, October 5, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.