Rytas vs Neptunas prediction
Rytas
18
22
27
19
Neptunas
22
18
21
16
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 67%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Rytas8681Neptunas7786Rytas8681Neptunas7786Total 167 Margin NEP by 5 Win NEP 64% Actual 163 · RYT won
Rytas
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Neptunas
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Rytas vs Neptunas
Rytas
Neptunas
Last 12 and 13 games with full stats · all competitions
Rytas at home, last 8 games · Neptunas away, last 6
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Rytas 3, Neptunas 1.
- Average total 189.0 points per meeting
- Over 181.5 4 of 4 against this game’s total
- Last meeting RYT by 7 Apr 29, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 29, 2026 LKL Neptunas 91–98 Rytas 189 pts
- Feb 14, 2026 LKL Rytas 100–95 Neptunas 195 pts
- Jan 31, 2026 LKL Neptunas 95–87 Rytas 182 pts
- Oct 18, 2025 LKL Rytas 97–93 Neptunas 190 pts
Last five games
Rytas
3-2 - Oct 6: Rytas 82, Sabah Baku 73. Won. Odds: Rytas 1.19, Sabah Baku 4.33.
- Oct 3: Rytas 102, Gargzdai 105. Lost. Odds: Rytas 1.11, Gargzdai 5.01.
- Sep 27: Rytas 86, G League United 89. Lost. Odds: Rytas 1.73, G League United 2.04.
- Sep 26: Rytas 77, Boca Juniors 70. Won. Odds: Rytas 1.23, Boca Juniors 3.91.
- Sep 24: Rytas 107, Shanghai 66. Won. Odds: Rytas 1.03, Shanghai 11.40.
Neptunas
2-3 - Oct 7: Chemnitz 93, Neptunas 84. Lost. Odds: Chemnitz 1.62, Neptunas 2.20.
- Oct 3: Neptunas 89, Nevezis 62. Won. Odds: Neptunas 1.11, Nevezis 5.08.
- Sep 29: Neptunas 73, Trento 76. Lost. Odds: Neptunas 1.96, Trento 1.81.
- Sep 26: Gargzdai 87, Neptunas 78. Lost. Odds: Gargzdai 2.19, Neptunas 1.55.
- Sep 23: Neptunas 99, Juventus 84. Won. Odds: Neptunas 1.57, Juventus 2.20.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Over/under moved up from 178.5 to 181.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 14.1 — Rytas +10.5 per 100 possessions, Neptunas −3.6.
- 3-1 in the last 4 meetings for Rytas.
- 189.0 points per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 181.5.
- 2nd vs 5th in the LKL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| RYT moneyline | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| NEP moneyline | 3.70 | moved down 3.20 |
| Total points | 178.5 | moved up 181.5 |
| RYT spread | −6.5 | moved down −8.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
LKL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Zalgiris Kaunas |
7 | 7 | 0 | 1.000 | 651 | 511 | +140 |
| 2 | Rytas |
5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 456 | 417 | +39 |
| 3 | Gargzdai | 7 | 5 | 2 | .714 | 634 | 619 | +15 |
| 4 |  Lietkabelis |
8 | 4 | 4 | .500 | 631 | 649 | −18 |
| 5 | Neptunas |
8 | 4 | 4 | .500 | 685 | 682 | +3 |
| 6 |  Jonava |
7 | 3 | 4 | .429 | 549 | 556 | −7 |
| 7 |  Juventus |
8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 682 | 698 | −16 |
| 8 |  Siauliai |
8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 666 | 698 | −32 |
| 9 |  Taurage |
8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 651 | 702 | −51 |
| 10 |  Nevezis |
6 | 0 | 6 | .000 | 428 | 501 | −73 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Rytas host Neptunas in the LKL on Saturday, October 10, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.