Rytas vs Gargzdai prediction

All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 68%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 178 Margin GAR by 6 Win GAR 68% Actual 207 · GAR won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Rytas vs Gargzdai
Last 12 and 10 games with full stats · all competitions
Rytas at home, last 8 games · Gargzdai away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Rytas 2, Gargzdai 2.
- Average total 177.0 points per meeting
- Over 177.5 1 of 4 against this game’s total
- Last meeting GAR by 5 May 16, 2026
Meetings
- May 16, 2026 LKL Gargzdai 103–98 Rytas 201 pts
- Mar 29, 2026 LKL Rytas 98–77 Gargzdai 175 pts
- Jan 10, 2026 LKL Gargzdai 82–78 Rytas 160 pts
- Sep 24, 2025 LKL Rytas 99–73 Gargzdai 172 pts
Last five games
- Sep 27: Rytas 86, G League United 89. Lost. Odds: Rytas 1.73, G League United 2.04.
- Sep 26: Rytas 77, Boca Juniors 70. Won. Odds: Rytas 1.23, Boca Juniors 3.91.
- Sep 24: Rytas 107, Shanghai 66. Won. Odds: Rytas 1.03, Shanghai 11.40.
- Sep 22: Rytas 107, RSSB Tigers 89. Won. Odds: Rytas 1.04, RSSB Tigers 7.40.
- May 23: Rytas 95, Juventus 101. Lost. No odds on record.
- Sep 26: Gargzdai 87, Neptunas 78. Won. Odds: Gargzdai 2.19, Neptunas 1.55.
- Sep 20: Gargzdai 90, Siauliai 79. Won. Odds: Gargzdai 2.20, Siauliai 1.57.
- Sep 17: Gargzdai 77, Zalgiris Kaunas 98. Lost. Odds: Gargzdai 10.00, Zalgiris Kaunas 1.02.
- May 23: Gargzdai 74, Neptunas 84. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 21: Neptunas 100, Gargzdai 73. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Even head-to-head, 2-2 over the last 4 meetings.
- 177.0 points per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 177.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| RYT moneyline | 1.13 | moved down 1.11 |
| GAR moneyline | 5.30 | moved down 5.01 |
| Total points | 177.5 | 177.5 |
| RYT spread | −12.5 | moved down −13.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
LKL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 1.000 | 651 | 511 | +140 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 456 | 417 | +39 | |
| 3 | Gargzdai | 7 | 5 | 2 | .714 | 634 | 619 | +15 |
| 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | .500 | 631 | 649 | −18 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 4 | .500 | 685 | 682 | +3 | |
| 6 | 7 | 3 | 4 | .429 | 549 | 556 | −7 | |
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 682 | 698 | −16 | |
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 666 | 698 | −32 | |
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 651 | 702 | −51 | |
| 10 | 6 | 0 | 6 | .000 | 428 | 501 | −73 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Rytas host Gargzdai in the LKL on Saturday, October 3, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.
