Rotterdam vs Leiden prediction
Rotterdam
23
15
21
12
Leiden
14
18
18
26
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 83%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Rotterdam7178Leiden7683Rotterdam7178Leiden7683Total 161 Margin LEI by 5 Win LEI 63% Actual 147 · LEI won
Rotterdam
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Leiden
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Rotterdam vs Leiden
Rotterdam
Leiden
Last 5 and 28 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Rotterdam 0, Leiden 2.
- Average total 163.5 points per meeting
- Over 163.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting LEI by 2 Jan 23, 2026
Meetings
- Jan 23, 2026 BNXT League Rotterdam 73–75 Leiden 148 pts
- Oct 4, 2025 BNXT League Leiden 111–68 Rotterdam 179 pts
Last five games
Rotterdam
0-5 - May 9: Mechelen 97, Rotterdam 73. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 6: Rotterdam 76, Donar Groningen 90. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 2: Okapi Aalst 102, Rotterdam 92. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 26: Rotterdam 66, Brussels Basketball 83. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 19: Limburg 119, Rotterdam 89. Lost. No odds on record.
Leiden
2-3 - Jun 10: Zwolle 90, Leiden 74. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jun 7: Leiden 61, Zwolle 75. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jun 5: Zwolle 59, Leiden 61. Won. No odds on record.
- Jun 3: Leiden 68, Zwolle 86. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 9: Leiden 110, Den Helder 102. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 6-game losing streak for Rotterdam coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Rotterdam dropped from 3.55 to 2.40 since they were first published.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| ROT moneyline | 3.55 | moved down 2.40 |
| LEI moneyline | 1.24 | moved up 1.48 |
| Total points | 163.5 | 163.5 |
| ROT spread | +5.5 | moved down +4.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
BNXT League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Antwerp Giants |
5 | 5 | 0 | 1.000 | 535 | 410 | +125 |
| 2 |  Liege |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | — | — | 0 |
| 2 | Brussels Basketball | 5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 407 | 341 | +66 |
| 3 |  Okapi Aalst |
5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 463 | 417 | +46 |
| 4 |  Oostende |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 385 | 365 | +20 |
| 5 |  Spirou Charleroi |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 399 | 328 | +71 |
| 6 |  Limburg |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 456 | 433 | +23 |
| 7 |  Den Bosch |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 399 | 402 | −3 |
| 8 |  Leuven Bears |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 340 | 345 | −5 |
| 9 |  Zwolle |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 352 | 374 | −22 |
| 10 |  Donar Groningen |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 415 | 441 | −26 |
| 11 | Leiden |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 376 | 388 | −12 |
| 12 |  Mechelen |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 445 | 476 | −31 |
| 13 | Rotterdam | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 381 | 404 | −23 |
| 14 |  Kortrijk |
5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 405 | 431 | −26 |
| 15 |  CB Liege |
5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 377 | 462 | −85 |
| 16 |  Belfius Mons |
5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 326 | 444 | −118 |
Pct percentage of games won. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Rotterdam host Leiden in the BNXT League on Friday, October 2, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.