Rostock vs Aris prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 67%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 162 Margin ROS by 2 Win ROS 57% Actual 189 · ARI won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Shooting
Rostock vs Aris
Last 13 and 10 games with full stats · all competitions
Rostock at home, last 5 games · Aris away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
- Oct 14: Le Mans 82, Rostock 70. Lost. Odds: Le Mans 1.30, Rostock 3.05.
- Oct 10: Rostock 101, Wurzburg 62. Won. Odds: Rostock 1.48, Wurzburg 2.56.
- Oct 6: Rostock 87, Rigas Zelli 86. Won. Odds: Rostock 1.30, Rigas Zelli 3.30.
- Oct 3: Hamburg 84, Rostock 91. Won. Odds: Hamburg 1.95, Rostock 1.82.
- Sep 29: Hapoel Jerusalem 94, Rostock 73. Lost. Odds: Hapoel Jerusalem 1.09, Rostock 6.87.
- Oct 17: Aris 74, Maroussi 57. Won. Odds: Aris 1.04, Maroussi 7.40.
- Oct 14: Aris 88, Tortona 68. Won. Odds: Aris 1.08, Tortona 7.17.
- Oct 10: Aris 88, AEK Athens 58. Won. Odds: Aris 1.25, AEK Athens 3.30.
- Oct 7: Aris 93, San Pablo Burgos 80. Won. Odds: Aris 1.28, San Pablo Burgos 3.50.
- Oct 3: AS Karditsas 74, Aris 68. Lost. Odds: AS Karditsas 5.20, Aris 1.15.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-game winning streak for Aris coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 5 days off for Rostock, 2 for Aris.
- Over/under moved down from 168.5 to 166.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 22.2 — Rostock −2.6 per 100 possessions, Aris +19.6.
- 7th vs 1st in the EuroCup standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| ROS moneyline | 4.10 | moved down 3.70 |
| ARI moneyline | 1.11 | moved up 1.21 |
| Total points | 168.5 | moved down 166.5 |
| ROS spread | +11.5 | moved down +8.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
EuroCup standings
Regular Season · Group A
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1.000 | 456 | 374 | +82 | |
| 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1.000 | 444 | 368 | +76 | |
| 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 416 | 419 | −3 | |
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 404 | 421 | −17 | |
| 5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 406 | 402 | +4 | |
| 6 | 5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 399 | 427 | −28 | |
| 7 | 5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 392 | 458 | −66 | |
| 8 | 5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 363 | 411 | −48 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Rostock host Aris in the EuroCup on Tuesday, October 20, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.