Rilski Sportist vs Lok. Plovdiv prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 58%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 167 Margin LOK by 7 Win LOK 69% Actual 167 · RIL won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Rilski Sportist vs Lok. Plovdiv
Last 8 games each with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Rilski Sportist 2, Lok. Plovdiv 3.
- Average total 178.4 points per meeting
- Over 170.5 4 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting LOK by 5 May 20, 2026
Meetings
- May 20, 2026 NBL Rilski Sportist 87–92 Lok. Plovdiv 179 pts
- May 17, 2026 NBL Lok. Plovdiv 99–88 Rilski Sportist 187 pts
- May 15, 2026 NBL Lok. Plovdiv 99–89 Rilski Sportist 188 pts
- May 12, 2026 NBL Rilski Sportist 97–75 Lok. Plovdiv 172 pts
- May 10, 2026 NBL Rilski Sportist 87–79 Lok. Plovdiv 166 pts
Last five games
- Oct 28: SCM Craiova 103, Rilski Sportist 86. Lost. Odds: SCM Craiova 1.37, Rilski Sportist 2.95.
- Oct 25: Spartak Pleven 86, Rilski Sportist 70. Lost. Odds: Spartak Pleven 3.20, Rilski Sportist 1.24.
- Oct 17: Rilski Sportist 114, CSKA Sofia 76. Won. Odds: Rilski Sportist 1.01, CSKA Sofia 9.80.
- Oct 14: Rilski Sportist 62, Esenler Erokspor 94. Lost. Odds: Rilski Sportist 6.92, Esenler Erokspor 1.08.
- Oct 11: Yambol 64, Rilski Sportist 96. Won. Odds: Yambol 5.60, Rilski Sportist 1.10.
- Oct 28: Lok. Plovdiv 95, Fribourg Olympic 83. Won. Odds: Lok. Plovdiv 1.49, Fribourg Olympic 2.50.
- Oct 24: Lok. Plovdiv 87, Polytechnica 65. Won. Odds: Lok. Plovdiv 1.02, Polytechnica 7.50.
- Oct 20: Mykonos 86, Lok. Plovdiv 84. Lost. Odds: Mykonos 1.06, Lok. Plovdiv 7.20.
- Oct 17: Beroe 95, Lok. Plovdiv 98. After overtime. Won. Odds: Beroe 4.05, Lok. Plovdiv 1.20.
- Oct 14: Lok. Plovdiv 79, CSM Oradea 69. Won. Odds: Lok. Plovdiv 4.42, CSM Oradea 1.19.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Lok. Plovdiv dropped from 3.75 to 3.10 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved down from 172.5 to 170.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 11.8 — Rilski Sportist −6.1 per 100 possessions, Lok. Plovdiv +5.7.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Lok. Plovdiv.
- 4-1 in the last five for Lok. Plovdiv.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| RIL moneyline | 1.20 | moved up 1.32 |
| LOK moneyline | 3.75 | moved down 3.10 |
| Total points | 172.5 | moved down 170.5 |
| RIL spread | −7.5 | moved up −6.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 370 | 287 | +83 | |
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 349 | 279 | +70 | |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 368 | 305 | +63 | |
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 359 | 320 | +39 | |
| 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 356 | 321 | +35 | |
| 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 341 | 307 | +34 | |
| 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 329 | 298 | +31 | |
| 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 384 | 356 | +28 | |
| 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 278 | 292 | −14 | |
| 10 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 303 | 398 | −95 | |
| 11 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 309 | 375 | −66 | |
| 12 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 289 | 388 | −99 | |
| 13 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 223 | 263 | −40 | |
| 14 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 198 | 267 | −69 |
- Playoffs
- Losers stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Rilski Sportist host Lok. Plovdiv in the NBL on Saturday, October 31, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.