Rilski Sportist vs CSKA Sofia prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 56%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 173 Margin RIL by 7 Win RIL 68% Actual 190 · RIL won
Rilski Sportist vs CSKA Sofia
Last five games
- Oct 14: Rilski Sportist 62, Esenler Erokspor 94. Lost. Odds: Rilski Sportist 6.92, Esenler Erokspor 1.08.
- Oct 11: Yambol 64, Rilski Sportist 96. Won. Odds: Yambol 5.60, Rilski Sportist 1.10.
- Oct 7: Sporting CP 79, Rilski Sportist 75. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Sporting CP 1.30, Rilski Sportist 3.10.
- Sep 14: Breogan 126, Rilski Sportist 80. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 25: Cherno More 94, Rilski Sportist 100. Won. No odds on record.
- Oct 10: CSKA Sofia 100, Polytechnica 95. Won. Odds: CSKA Sofia 1.26, Polytechnica 3.50.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Rest advantage: 6 days off for CSKA Sofia, 2 for Rilski Sportist.
- Over/under moved down from 173.5 to 171.5 since it was first published.
- 3rd vs 10th in the NBL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| RIL moneyline | 1.02 | moved down 1.01 |
| CSK moneyline | 9.75 | moved up 9.80 |
| Total points | 173.5 | moved down 171.5 |
| RIL spread | −23.5 | −23.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 370 | 287 | +83 | |
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 349 | 279 | +70 | |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 368 | 305 | +63 | |
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 359 | 320 | +39 | |
| 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 356 | 321 | +35 | |
| 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 341 | 307 | +34 | |
| 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 329 | 298 | +31 | |
| 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 384 | 356 | +28 | |
| 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 278 | 292 | −14 | |
| 10 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 303 | 398 | −95 | |
| 11 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 309 | 375 | −66 | |
| 12 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 289 | 388 | −99 | |
| 13 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 223 | 263 | −40 | |
| 14 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 198 | 267 | −69 |
- Playoffs
- Losers stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Rilski Sportist host CSKA Sofia in the NBL on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.