Real Madrid vs San Pablo Burgos prediction
Real Madrid
14
25
25
26
San Pablo Burgos
17
14
22
26
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 75%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Real Madrid90104San Pablo Burgos7983Real Madrid90104San Pablo Burgos7983Total 187 Margin REA by 21 Win REA 91% Actual 169 · REA won
Real Madrid
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction San Pablo Burgos
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Real Madrid vs San Pablo Burgos
Real Madrid
San Pablo Burgos
Last 15 and 11 games with full stats · all competitions
Real Madrid at home, last 7 games · San Pablo Burgos away, last 6
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Real Madrid 2, San Pablo Burgos 0.
- Average total 171.0 points per meeting
- Over 188.5 0 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting REA by 16 Apr 12, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 12, 2026 ACB San Pablo Burgos 78–94 Real Madrid 172 pts
- Oct 19, 2025 ACB Real Madrid 90–80 San Pablo Burgos 170 pts
Last five games
Real Madrid
5-0 - Oct 29: Real Madrid 95, Fenerbahce 76. Won. Odds: Real Madrid 1.43, Fenerbahce 2.83.
- Oct 27: Baskonia 86, Real Madrid 104. Won. Odds: Baskonia 4.20, Real Madrid 1.19.
- Oct 25: Forca Lleida 86, Real Madrid 122. Won. Odds: Forca Lleida 6.00, Real Madrid 1.10.
- Oct 22: Maccabi Tel Aviv 99, Real Madrid 113. Won. Odds: Maccabi Tel Aviv 2.50, Real Madrid 1.46.
- Oct 18: Real Madrid 119, Bilbao 84. Won. Odds: Real Madrid 1.10, Bilbao 5.60.
San Pablo Burgos
1-4 - Oct 28: San Pablo Burgos 71, Rigas Zelli 79. Lost. Odds: San Pablo Burgos 1.17, Rigas Zelli 4.50.
- Oct 24: Manresa 81, San Pablo Burgos 99. Won. Odds: Manresa 1.54, San Pablo Burgos 2.30.
- Oct 21: Tortona 89, San Pablo Burgos 79. Lost. Odds: Tortona 1.45, San Pablo Burgos 2.60.
- Oct 17: San Pablo Burgos 72, Obradoiro CAB 79. Lost. Odds: San Pablo Burgos 1.36, Obradoiro CAB 2.97.
- Oct 14: San Pablo Burgos 84, Hapoel Jerusalem 85. Lost. Odds: San Pablo Burgos 2.81, Hapoel Jerusalem 1.41.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 10+ straight wins for Real Madrid coming into this game.
- Over/under moved up from 185.5 to 188.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 22.2 — Real Madrid +18.5 per 100 possessions, San Pablo Burgos −3.7.
- 1-4 in the last five for San Pablo Burgos.
- 1st vs 13th in the ACB standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| REA moneyline | 1.04 | 1.04 |
| SPB moneyline | 10.00 | moved down 9.75 |
| Total points | 185.5 | moved up 188.5 |
| REA spread | −15.5 | moved up −14.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
ACB standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Madrid |
6 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 654 | 526 | +128 |
| 2 |  Valencia |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 594 | 523 | +71 |
| 3 |  Baskonia |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 567 | 497 | +70 |
| 4 |  Tenerife |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 527 | 479 | +48 |
| 5 |  Breogan |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 628 | 592 | +36 |
| 6 |  Basket Zaragoza |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 552 | 523 | +29 |
| 7 |  Barcelona |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 582 | 570 | +12 |
| 8 |  Bilbao |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 557 | 556 | +1 |
| 9 |  Unicaja |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 530 | 507 | +23 |
| 10 |  Murcia |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 560 | 563 | −3 |
| 11 |  Obradoiro CAB |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 533 | 576 | −43 |
| 12 |  Basquet Girona |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 543 | 594 | −51 |
| 13 | San Pablo Burgos |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 528 | 525 | +3 |
| 14 |  Joventut Badalona |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 551 | 549 | +2 |
| 15 |  Leyma Coruna |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 540 | 599 | −59 |
| 16 |  MoraBanc Andorra |
6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 507 | 579 | −72 |
| 17 |  Forca Lleida |
6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 557 | 641 | −84 |
| 18 |  Manresa |
6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 506 | 617 | −111 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation - Primera FEB
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Real Madrid host San Pablo Burgos in the ACB on Sunday, November 1, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.