Real Madrid vs Manresa prediction
Real Madrid
34
28
24
34
Manresa
22
16
18
27
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 72%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Real Madrid12097Manresa8391Real Madrid12097Manresa8391Total 188 Margin REA by 6 Win REA 66% Actual 203 · REA won
Real Madrid
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Manresa
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Real Madrid vs Manresa
Real Madrid
Manresa
Last 15 and 11 games with full stats · all competitions
Real Madrid at home, last 7 games · Manresa away, last 6
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Real Madrid 1, Manresa 1.
- Average total 171.5 points per meeting
- Over 185.5 0 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting MAN by 7 May 29, 2026
Meetings
- May 29, 2026 ACB Manresa 94–87 Real Madrid 181 pts
- Oct 26, 2025 ACB Real Madrid 87–75 Manresa 162 pts
Last five games
Real Madrid
3-2 - Oct 8: Real Madrid 86, Partizan Mozzart Bet 76. Won. Odds: Real Madrid 1.23, Partizan Mozzart Bet 4.04.
- Oct 4: Obradoiro CAB 107, Real Madrid 114. After overtime. Won. Odds: Obradoiro CAB 4.70, Real Madrid 1.17.
- Oct 1: Hapoel Tel Aviv 102, Real Madrid 98. Lost. Odds: Hapoel Tel Aviv 2.40, Real Madrid 1.57.
- Sep 29: Anadolu Efes 94, Real Madrid 84. Lost. Odds: Anadolu Efes 1.99, Real Madrid 1.83.
- Sep 27: Real Madrid 89, Unicaja 87. Won. Odds: Real Madrid 1.16, Unicaja 4.91.
Manresa
2-3 - Oct 7: Manresa 101, Ulm 89. Won. Odds: Manresa 1.40, Ulm 2.80.
- Oct 3: Manresa 95, Breogan 101. Lost. Odds: Manresa 1.55, Breogan 2.40.
- Sep 30: PAOK 93, Manresa 78. Lost. Odds: PAOK 1.11, Manresa 6.15.
- Sep 26: Bilbao 107, Manresa 92. Lost. Odds: Bilbao 1.34, Manresa 3.13.
- May 29: Manresa 94, Real Madrid 87. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Over/under moved up from 180.5 to 185.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 28.5 — Real Madrid +18.5 per 100 possessions, Manresa −10.0.
- 1st vs 18th in the ACB standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| REA moneyline | 1.05 | moved up 1.07 |
| MAN moneyline | 8.00 | moved down 7.70 |
| Total points | 180.5 | moved up 185.5 |
| REA spread | −15.5 | −15.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
ACB standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Madrid |
6 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 654 | 526 | +128 |
| 2 |  Valencia |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 594 | 523 | +71 |
| 3 |  Baskonia |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 567 | 497 | +70 |
| 4 |  Tenerife |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 527 | 479 | +48 |
| 5 |  Breogan |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 628 | 592 | +36 |
| 6 |  Basket Zaragoza |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 552 | 523 | +29 |
| 7 |  Barcelona |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 582 | 570 | +12 |
| 8 |  Bilbao |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 557 | 556 | +1 |
| 9 |  Unicaja |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 530 | 507 | +23 |
| 10 |  Murcia |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 560 | 563 | −3 |
| 11 |  Obradoiro CAB |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 533 | 576 | −43 |
| 12 |  Basquet Girona |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 543 | 594 | −51 |
| 13 |  San Pablo Burgos |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 528 | 525 | +3 |
| 14 |  Joventut Badalona |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 551 | 549 | +2 |
| 15 |  Leyma Coruna |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 540 | 599 | −59 |
| 16 |  MoraBanc Andorra |
6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 507 | 579 | −72 |
| 17 |  Forca Lleida |
6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 557 | 641 | −84 |
| 18 | Manresa |
6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 506 | 617 | −111 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation - Primera FEB
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Real Madrid host Manresa in the ACB on Sunday, October 11, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.