Real Madrid vs Lyon-Villeurbanne Prediction & Odds

EuroLeague Thursday, October 15, 2026Thu, Oct 15 Start15:00ET Round 6

Real MadridHome · 6-3 · 4th · 1.16

11127341634

Lyon-VilleurbanneAway · 4-5 · 15th · 5.23

9225232321

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Real Madrid 27 34 16 34

Lyon-Villeurbanne 25 23 23 21

FT Movistar ArenaMovistar Arena · Round 6

Best tip of the game

Point spread Won

LYO +20.5 1.26 81%

Lyon-Villeurbanne +20.5 on the spread edge −7.2%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Won LYO +20.5 1.26 Lyon-Villeurbanne +20.5 on the spread Confidence81% model 65.4% · market 72.6% edge −7.2%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 84%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.15 75.3% 84.2% −8.9% 85% Won

Total points O162.5 1.25 85.7% 72.8% +12.9% 85% Won

Point spread LYO +20.5 1.26 65.4% 72.6% −7.2% 81% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Real Madrid11196

Lyon-Villeurbanne9287

Total 183 actual 203

Winning margin REA by 9 actual REA by 19

Chance to win REA 75% REA won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Real Madrid11196

Lyon-Villeurbanne9287

Total 183 Margin REA by 9 Win REA 75% Actual 203 · REA won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 8+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Real Madrid large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Lyon-Villeurbanne

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Real Madrid vs Lyon-Villeurbanne

Real Madrid Lyon-Villeurbanne

Last 15 and 16 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Real Madrid 4-1

Oct 13: Olimpia Milano 89, Real Madrid 98. Won. Odds: Olimpia Milano 2.40, Real Madrid 1.57.
Oct 11: Real Madrid 120, Manresa 83. Won. Odds: Real Madrid 1.07, Manresa 7.70.
Oct 8: Real Madrid 86, Partizan Mozzart Bet 76. Won. Odds: Real Madrid 1.23, Partizan Mozzart Bet 4.04.
Oct 4: Obradoiro CAB 107, Real Madrid 114. After overtime. Won. Odds: Obradoiro CAB 4.70, Real Madrid 1.17.
Oct 1: Hapoel Tel Aviv 102, Real Madrid 98. Lost. Odds: Hapoel Tel Aviv 2.40, Real Madrid 1.57.

Lyon-Villeurbanne 3-2

Oct 13: Lyon-Villeurbanne 82, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 84. Lost. Odds: Lyon-Villeurbanne 2.05, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 1.65.
Oct 11: Lyon-Villeurbanne 96, Roanne 77. Won. Odds: Lyon-Villeurbanne 1.18, Roanne 3.95.
Oct 7: Paris 96, Lyon-Villeurbanne 98. Won. Odds: Paris 1.51, Lyon-Villeurbanne 2.56.
Oct 4: Gravelines-Dunkerque 65, Lyon-Villeurbanne 70. Won. Odds: Gravelines-Dunkerque 3.29, Lyon-Villeurbanne 1.31.
Oct 2: Lyon-Villeurbanne 92, Valencia 105. Lost. Odds: Lyon-Villeurbanne 2.45, Valencia 1.56.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
REA moneyline	1.11	moved up 1.16
LYO moneyline	5.60	moved down 5.23
Total points	173.5	173.5
REA spread	−12.5	−12.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

EuroLeague standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pct	PF	PA	+/−
1	Panathinaikos	9	7	2	.778	761	675	+86
2	Olympiacos	9	7	2	.778	790	739	+51
3	Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet	9	6	3	.667	763	683	+80
4	Real Madrid	9	6	3	.667	866	792	+74
5	Valencia	9	6	3	.667	867	806	+61
6	Hapoel Tel Aviv	9	6	3	.667	831	786	+45
7	Fenerbahce	9	6	3	.667	719	689	+30
8	Barcelona	9	6	3	.667	809	784	+25
9	Dubai	9	6	3	.667	787	766	+21
10	Zalgiris Kaunas	9	5	4	.556	773	756	+17
11	Besiktas	9	4	5	.444	810	826	−16
12	Partizan Mozzart Bet	9	4	5	.444	696	715	−19
13	Virtus Bologna	9	4	5	.444	781	802	−21
14	Anadolu Efes	9	4	5	.444	752	776	−24
15	Lyon-Villeurbanne	9	4	5	.444	788	831	−43
16	Paris	9	3	6	.333	795	836	−41
17	Maccabi Tel Aviv	9	2	7	.222	780	852	−72
18	Bayern	9	2	7	.222	769	850	−81
19	Olimpia Milano	9	1	8	.111	738	812	−74
20	Baskonia	9	1	8	.111	748	847	−99

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Play-in

Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Real Madrid host Lyon-Villeurbanne in the EuroLeague on Thursday, October 15, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.