Real Madrid vs Fenerbahce Prediction & Odds — Oct 29

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EuroLeague Thursday, October 29, 2026Thu, Oct 29 Start15:45ET Round 9

Real MadridHome · 6-3 · 4th · 1.43

9522252325

FenerbahceAway · 6-3 · 7th · 2.83

7624181321

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Real Madrid 22 25 23 25

Fenerbahce 24 18 13 21

FT Movistar ArenaMovistar Arena · Round 9

Best tip of the game

Total points Won

O159.5 1.20 85%

Over 159.5 points edge −0.8%

Best tip of the game Total points · Won O159.5 1.20 Over 159.5 points Confidence85% model 72.1% · market 72.9% edge −0.8%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 84%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.45 66.7% 57.8% +8.9% 83% Won

Total points O159.5 1.20 72.1% 72.9% −0.8% 85% Won

Point spread REA +6.5 1.15 77.4% 72.4% +5.0% 85% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Real Madrid9594

Fenerbahce7683

Total 177 actual 171

Winning margin REA by 11 actual REA by 19

Chance to win REA 82% REA won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Real Madrid9594

Fenerbahce7683

Total 177 Margin REA by 11 Win REA 82% Actual 171 · REA won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 13+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Real Madrid large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Fenerbahce

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Real Madrid vs Fenerbahce

Real Madrid Fenerbahce

Last 15 and 16 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Real Madrid 5-0

Oct 27: Baskonia 86, Real Madrid 104. Won. Odds: Baskonia 4.20, Real Madrid 1.19.
Oct 25: Forca Lleida 86, Real Madrid 122. Won. Odds: Forca Lleida 6.00, Real Madrid 1.10.
Oct 22: Maccabi Tel Aviv 99, Real Madrid 113. Won. Odds: Maccabi Tel Aviv 2.50, Real Madrid 1.46.
Oct 18: Real Madrid 119, Bilbao 84. Won. Odds: Real Madrid 1.10, Bilbao 5.60.
Oct 15: Real Madrid 111, Lyon-Villeurbanne 92. Won. Odds: Real Madrid 1.16, Lyon-Villeurbanne 5.23.

Fenerbahce 3-2

Oct 27: Valencia 86, Fenerbahce 78. Lost. Odds: Valencia 1.79, Fenerbahce 1.86.
Oct 25: Karsiyaka 72, Fenerbahce 97. Won. Odds: Karsiyaka 3.60, Fenerbahce 1.24.
Oct 23: Olympiacos 61, Fenerbahce 64. Won. Odds: Olympiacos 1.79, Fenerbahce 1.86.
Oct 18: Fenerbahce 77, Petkim Spor 82. Lost. Odds: Fenerbahce 1.04, Petkim Spor 5.00.
Oct 15: Fenerbahce 74, Partizan Mozzart Bet 65. Won. Odds: Fenerbahce 1.14, Partizan Mozzart Bet 4.65.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
REA moneyline	1.60	moved down 1.43
FEN moneyline	2.20	moved up 2.83
Total points	170.5	moved up 172.5
REA spread	−3.5	moved down −5.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

EuroLeague standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pct	PF	PA	+/−
1	Panathinaikos	9	7	2	.778	761	675	+86
2	Olympiacos	9	7	2	.778	790	739	+51
3	Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet	9	6	3	.667	763	683	+80
4	Real Madrid	9	6	3	.667	866	792	+74
5	Valencia	9	6	3	.667	867	806	+61
6	Hapoel Tel Aviv	9	6	3	.667	831	786	+45
7	Fenerbahce	9	6	3	.667	719	689	+30
8	Barcelona	9	6	3	.667	809	784	+25
9	Dubai	9	6	3	.667	787	766	+21
10	Zalgiris Kaunas	9	5	4	.556	773	756	+17
11	Besiktas	9	4	5	.444	810	826	−16
12	Partizan Mozzart Bet	9	4	5	.444	696	715	−19
13	Virtus Bologna	9	4	5	.444	781	802	−21
14	Anadolu Efes	9	4	5	.444	752	776	−24
15	Lyon-Villeurbanne	9	4	5	.444	788	831	−43
16	Paris	9	3	6	.333	795	836	−41
17	Maccabi Tel Aviv	9	2	7	.222	780	852	−72
18	Bayern	9	2	7	.222	769	850	−81
19	Olimpia Milano	9	1	8	.111	738	812	−74
20	Baskonia	9	1	8	.111	748	847	−99

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Play-in

Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Real Madrid host Fenerbahce in the EuroLeague on Thursday, October 29, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.