Real Madrid vs Bilbao Prediction & Odds

ACB Sunday, October 18, 2026Sun, Oct 18 Start06:30ET Round 4

Real MadridHome · 6-0 · 1st · 1.10

11936262730

BilbaoAway · 4-2 · 8th · 5.60

8413222227

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Real Madrid 36 26 27 30

Bilbao 13 22 22 27

FT Movistar Arena · SpainMovistar Arena · Round 4

Best tip of the game

Point spread Lost

BIL +17.5 1.32 85%

Bilbao +17.5 on the spread edge +12.1%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Lost BIL +17.5 1.32 Bilbao +17.5 on the spread Confidence85% model 85.3% · market 73.2% edge +12.1%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 72%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.10 45.6% 78.1% −32.5% 51% Won

Total points O173.5 1.31 81.1% 70.2% +10.9% 81% Won

Point spread BIL +17.5 1.32 85.3% 73.2% +12.1% 85% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Real Madrid11996

Bilbao8494

Total 190 actual 203

Winning margin REA by 2 actual REA by 35

Chance to win REA 54% REA won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Real Madrid11996

Bilbao8494

Total 190 Margin REA by 2 Win REA 54% Actual 203 · REA won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 5+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Real Madrid large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Bilbao

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Real Madrid vs Bilbao

Real Madrid Bilbao

Last 15 and 8 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Real Madrid 5-0

Oct 15: Real Madrid 111, Lyon-Villeurbanne 92. Won. Odds: Real Madrid 1.16, Lyon-Villeurbanne 5.23.
Oct 13: Olimpia Milano 89, Real Madrid 98. Won. Odds: Olimpia Milano 2.40, Real Madrid 1.57.
Oct 11: Real Madrid 120, Manresa 83. Won. Odds: Real Madrid 1.07, Manresa 7.70.
Oct 8: Real Madrid 86, Partizan Mozzart Bet 76. Won. Odds: Real Madrid 1.23, Partizan Mozzart Bet 4.04.
Oct 4: Obradoiro CAB 107, Real Madrid 114. After overtime. Won. Odds: Obradoiro CAB 4.70, Real Madrid 1.17.

Bilbao 4-1

Oct 14: Bilbao 97, Slavia Prague ERA NBK 86. Won. Odds: Bilbao 1.07, Slavia Prague ERA NBK 6.10.
Oct 11: Bilbao 96, San Pablo Burgos 87. Won. Odds: Bilbao 1.37, San Pablo Burgos 2.98.
Oct 6: Igokea 79, Bilbao 92. Won. Odds: Igokea 1.95, Bilbao 1.80.
Oct 4: Leyma Coruna 104, Bilbao 101. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Leyma Coruna 2.06, Bilbao 1.73.
Sep 26: Bilbao 107, Manresa 92. Won. Odds: Bilbao 1.34, Manresa 3.13.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
REA moneyline	1.12	moved down 1.10
BIL moneyline	5.40	moved up 5.60
Total points	182.5	moved up 185.5
REA spread	−10.5	moved down −11.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

ACB standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Real Madrid	6	6	0	12	654	526	+128
2	Valencia	6	4	2	10	594	523	+71
3	Baskonia	6	4	2	10	567	497	+70
4	Tenerife	6	4	2	10	527	479	+48
5	Breogan	6	4	2	10	628	592	+36
6	Basket Zaragoza	6	4	2	10	552	523	+29
7	Barcelona	6	4	2	10	582	570	+12
8	Bilbao	6	4	2	10	557	556	+1
9	Unicaja	6	3	3	9	530	507	+23
10	Murcia	6	3	3	9	560	563	−3
11	Obradoiro CAB	6	3	3	9	533	576	−43
12	Basquet Girona	6	3	3	9	543	594	−51
13	San Pablo Burgos	6	2	4	8	528	525	+3
14	Joventut Badalona	6	2	4	8	551	549	+2
15	Leyma Coruna	6	2	4	8	540	599	−59
16	MoraBanc Andorra	6	1	5	7	507	579	−72
17	Forca Lleida	6	1	5	7	557	641	−84
18	Manresa	6	0	6	6	506	617	−111

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Relegation - Primera FEB

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Real Madrid host Bilbao in the ACB on Sunday, October 18, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.