Rain or Shine Elasto Painters vs Magnolia Hotshots prediction
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
26
35
20
22
Magnolia Hotshots
32
21
33
21
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 61%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters103102Magnolia Hotshots107107Rain or Shine Elasto Painters103102Magnolia Hotshots107107Total 209 Margin MAG by 5 Win MAG 64% Actual 210 · MAG won
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters vs Magnolia Hotshots
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
Magnolia Hotshots
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Rain or Shine Elasto Painters 3, Magnolia Hotshots 2.
- Average total 209.4 points per meeting
- Over 209.5 3 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting ROS by 1 Jul 31, 2026
Meetings
- Jul 31, 2026 Governors Cup Rain or Shine Elasto Painters 98–97 Magnolia Hotshots 195 pts
- Oct 5, 2024 Governors Cup Magnolia Hotshots 103–113 Rain or Shine Elasto Painters 216 pts
- Oct 1, 2024 Governors Cup Rain or Shine Elasto Painters 100–129 Magnolia Hotshots 229 pts
- Sep 29, 2024 Governors Cup Magnolia Hotshots 106–111 OT Rain or Shine Elasto Painters 217 pts · OT
- Sep 27, 2024 Governors Cup Rain or Shine Elasto Painters 69–121 Magnolia Hotshots 190 pts
Last five games
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
4-1 - Oct 17: Blackwater Bossing 123, Rain or Shine Elasto Painters 125. Won. Odds: Blackwater Bossing 4.30, Rain or Shine Elasto Painters 1.08.
- Oct 9: Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 129, Rain or Shine Elasto Painters 111. Lost. Odds: Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 2.65, Rain or Shine Elasto Painters 1.42.
- Aug 2: Rain or Shine Elasto Painters 85, Meralco Bolts 83. Won. No odds on record.
- Jul 31: Rain or Shine Elasto Painters 98, Magnolia Hotshots 97. Won. No odds on record.
- Jul 26: Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 99, Rain or Shine Elasto Painters 110. Won. No odds on record.
Magnolia Hotshots
5-0 - Oct 11: Magnolia Hotshots 112, Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 93. Won. Odds: Magnolia Hotshots 2.17, Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 1.64.
- Oct 9: Blackwater Bossing 101, Magnolia Hotshots 107. Won. Odds: Blackwater Bossing 3.40, Magnolia Hotshots 1.27.
- Aug 12: Magnolia Hotshots 115, Phoenix Fuelmasters 101. Won. No odds on record.
- Aug 7: Magnolia Hotshots 105, Meralco Bolts 88. Won. No odds on record.
- Aug 2: Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 73, Magnolia Hotshots 88. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 5-game winning streak for Magnolia Hotshots coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Rain or Shine Elasto Painters dropped from 2.40 to 2.10 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved up from 203.5 to 209.5 since it was first published.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Rain or Shine Elasto Painters.
- −8.9 points away — Magnolia Hotshots averaged 100.2 at home and 91.3 away this season.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| ROS moneyline | 2.40 | moved down 2.10 |
| MAG moneyline | 1.50 | moved down 1.47 |
| Total points | 203.5 | moved up 209.5 |
| ROS spread | +4.5 | moved down +3.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Governors Cup standings
Regular Season · Group B
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Magnolia Hotshots |
10 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 1010 | 942 | +68 |
| 2 | Rain or Shine Elasto Painters |
10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 1092 | 1092 | 0 |
| 3 |  Barangay Ginebra San Miguel |
10 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 966 | 944 | +22 |
| 4 |  Phoenix Fuelmasters |
10 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 975 | 1020 | −45 |
| 5 |  Meralco Bolts |
10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 997 | 1020 | −23 |
| 6 |  Blackwater Bossing |
10 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 1053 | 1075 | −22 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters host Magnolia Hotshots in the Governors Cup on Wednesday, October 21, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.