Quinta Dos Lombos vs Esgueira Prediction & Odds

LFB Women Sunday, October 11, 2026Sun, Oct 11 Start12:15ET Round 2

Quinta Dos LombosHome · 4-1 · 3rd · 1.19

6117161513

EsgueiraAway · 2-3 · 8th · 3.95

531116917

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Quinta Dos Lombos 17 16 15 13

Esgueira 11 16 9 17

FT Pavilhao Desportivo dos Lombos · PortugalPavilhao Desportivo dos Lombos · Round 2

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Won

1 1.19 85%

Quinta Dos Lombos to win edge −2.7%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Won 1 1.19 Quinta Dos Lombos to win Confidence85% model 83.9% · market 86.6% edge −2.7%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 68%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.19 83.9% 86.6% −2.7% 85% Won

Total points O142.5 1.83 58.1% 50.0% +8.1% 65% Lost

Point spread ESG +14.5 1.78 51.2% 51.2% 0.0% 53% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Quinta Dos Lombos6180

Esgueira5366

Total 146 actual 114

Winning margin QDL by 14 actual QDL by 8

Chance to win QDL 84% QDL won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Quinta Dos Lombos6180

Esgueira5366

Total 146 Margin QDL by 14 Win QDL 84% Actual 114 · QDL won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 18+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Quinta Dos Lombos large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Esgueira

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Quinta Dos Lombos vs Esgueira

Quinta Dos Lombos Esgueira

Last 29 and 27 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Quinta Dos Lombos 3-2

Oct 5: Gdessa Barreiro 65, Quinta Dos Lombos 79. Won. Odds: Gdessa Barreiro 3.90, Quinta Dos Lombos 1.20.
May 14: Quinta Dos Lombos 67, Benfica 77. Lost. No odds on record.
May 10: Benfica 59, Quinta Dos Lombos 73. Won. No odds on record.
May 8: Benfica 73, Quinta Dos Lombos 69. After overtime. Lost. No odds on record.
May 3: Quinta Dos Lombos 80, Benfica 64. Won. No odds on record.

Esgueira 2-3

Oct 4: Esgueira 70, SC Coimbroes 66. Won. Odds: Esgueira 1.26, SC Coimbroes 3.35.
Apr 11: Benfica 75, Esgueira 69. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 4: Esgueira 67, Benfica 96. Lost. No odds on record.
Mar 22: SC Coimbroes 66, Esgueira 62. Lost. No odds on record.
Mar 7: Esgueira 80, Barcelos 77. Won. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
QDL moneyline	1.08	moved up 1.19
ESG moneyline	7.00	moved down 3.95
Total points	142.5	142.5
QDL spread	−14.5	moved up −10.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

LFB Women standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	CAB Madeira	5	5	0	10	391	347	+44
2	Benfica	5	4	1	9	409	329	+80
3	Quinta Dos Lombos	5	4	1	9	372	308	+64
4	Sporting CP	5	4	1	9	359	309	+50
5	Uniao Sportiva	5	3	2	8	376	378	−2
6	Sanjoanense	5	3	2	8	372	406	−34
7	Gdessa Barreiro	5	2	3	7	392	391	+1
8	Esgueira	5	2	3	7	343	359	−16
9	Barcelos	5	1	4	6	371	388	−17
10	GDRAR	5	1	4	6	329	374	−45
11	CDEFF	5	1	4	6	326	377	−51
12	SC Coimbroes	5	0	5	5	324	398	−74

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Relegation

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Quinta Dos Lombos host Esgueira in the LFB Women on Sunday, October 11, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.