Primorje vs Virtus Zagreb prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 58%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 178 Margin PRI by 8 Win PRI 67% Actual 172 · PRI won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Shooting
Primorje vs Virtus Zagreb
Last 18 and 8 games with full stats · all competitions
Primorje at home, last 9 games · Virtus Zagreb away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
- Apr 18: Primorje 98, Mornar Bar 100. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 11: Mornar Bar 99, Primorje 87. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 4: Primorje 65, Vukovi Zeta 91. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 29: Ibar Rozaje 104, Primorje 107. After overtime. Won. No odds on record.
- Mar 21: Primorje 111, Ulcinj 85. Won. No odds on record.
- Oct 12: Virtus Zagreb 56, Zadar 87. Lost. Odds: Virtus Zagreb 4.30, Zadar 1.18.
- Oct 2: Cedevita Junior 89, Dubrava 84. Won. Odds: Cedevita Junior 1.26, Dubrava 3.40.
- Sep 27: Kvarner 93, Cedevita Junior 96. Won. Odds: Kvarner 1.72, Cedevita Junior 2.02.
- May 9: Split 87, Cedevita Junior 70. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 1: Cedevita Junior 74, Cibona 84. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Primorje coming into this game.
- Net rating difference of 11.0 — Primorje −1.2 per 100 possessions, Virtus Zagreb −12.2.
- 2nd vs 4th in the ABA League 2 standings.
- Different pace — Primorje averaged 79.4 possessions per game, Virtus Zagreb 73.7.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| PRI moneyline | 2.15 | moved down 2.07 |
| VIR moneyline | 1.60 | moved up 1.65 |
| Total points | 159.5 | moved up 160.5 |
| PRI spread | +2.5 | moved down −5.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
ABA League 2 standings
Regular Season · Group D
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1.000 | 200 | 178 | +22 | |
| 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | .500 | 189 | 182 | +7 | |
| 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | .500 | 143 | 159 | −16 | |
| 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 141 | 154 | −13 |
- Playoffs
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Primorje host Virtus Zagreb in the ABA League 2 on Wednesday, October 14, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.