Poznan vs Spojnia Stargard prediction
Poznan
31
18
13
32
Spojnia Stargard
17
26
27
29
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 61%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Poznan9486Spojnia Stargard9979Poznan9486Spojnia Stargard9979Total 165 Margin POZ by 7 Win POZ 65% Actual 193 · SPO won
Poznan
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Spojnia Stargard
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Poznan vs Spojnia Stargard
Poznan
Spojnia Stargard
Last 6 games each with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Poznan 1, Spojnia Stargard 1.
- Average total 155.5 points per meeting
- Over 166.5 0 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting SPO by 5 Feb 21, 2026
Meetings
- Feb 21, 2026 1 Liga Spojnia Stargard 82–77 Poznan 159 pts
- Nov 2, 2025 1 Liga Poznan 79–73 Spojnia Stargard 152 pts
Last five games
Poznan
2-3 - Sep 26: Krosno 98, Poznan 107. Won. Odds: Krosno 1.55, Poznan 2.25.
- Sep 19: Poznan 96, Poli. Opolska 75. Won. Odds: Poznan 1.30, Poli. Opolska 3.15.
- Apr 15: Poznan 74, Miners Katowice 79. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 12: R. Rzeszow 77, Poznan 75. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 8: Poznan 79, Pelplin 97. Lost. No odds on record.
Spojnia Stargard
3-2 - Sep 26: Spojnia Stargard 88, Bytom 79. Won. Odds: Spojnia Stargard 1.26, Bytom 3.40.
- Sep 19: GKS Tychy 81, Spojnia Stargard 83. Won. Odds: GKS Tychy 2.25, Spojnia Stargard 1.57.
- May 23: Spojnia Stargard 78, Starogard Gdanski 79. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 16: Starogard Gdanski 94, Spojnia Stargard 102. Won. No odds on record.
- May 8: LKS Lodz 101, Spojnia Stargard 85. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4th vs 2nd in the 1 Liga standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| POZ moneyline | 2.20 | moved up 2.32 |
| SPO moneyline | 1.60 | moved down 1.52 |
| Total points | 166.5 | 166.5 |
| POZ spread | +1.5 | moved up +4.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
1 Liga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Leszno |
7 | 7 | 0 | 14 | 636 | 514 | +122 |
| 2 | Spojnia Stargard |
7 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 649 | 600 | +49 |
| 3 |  LKS Lodz |
7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 616 | 548 | +68 |
| 4 | Poznan |
7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 639 | 597 | +42 |
| 5 |  Polonia Warszawa |
7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 634 | 639 | −5 |
| 6 |  WKK Wroclaw |
7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 582 | 569 | +13 |
| 7 |  Inowroclaw |
7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 558 | 551 | +7 |
| 8 |  Pelplin |
7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 636 | 642 | −6 |
| 9 |  GKS Tychy |
7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 539 | 557 | −18 |
| 10 |  Lancut |
7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 602 | 593 | +9 |
| 11 |  Kotwica Kolobrzeg |
7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 629 | 639 | −10 |
| 12 |  Bytom |
7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 570 | 603 | −33 |
| 13 |  Krosno |
7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 597 | 610 | −13 |
| 14 |  R. Rzeszow |
7 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 537 | 623 | −86 |
| 15 |  Starogard Gdanski |
7 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 591 | 642 | −51 |
| 16 |  Poli. Opolska |
7 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 571 | 659 | −88 |
- Playoffs
- Relegation
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Poznan host Spojnia Stargard in the 1 Liga on Sunday, October 4, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.