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Portland Trail Blazers vs Phoenix Suns prediction

NBA Wednesday, October 21, 2026Wed, Oct 21 Start22:00ET
Portland Trail BlazersHome · 4-1 · 6th · Moneyline odds up 1.62
1241st quarter 432nd quarter 293rd quarter 354th quarter 17
Phoenix SunsAway · 1-4 · 13th · Moneyline odds down 2.36
831st quarter 122nd quarter 273rd quarter 274th quarter 17
By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Portland Trail Blazers 43 29 35 17
Phoenix Suns 12 27 27 17
FT Moda Center · USAModa Center
Best tip of the game
Moneyline Won
1 odds up 1.62 61% confidence
Portland Trail Blazers to win edge −3.0%
Best tip of the game Moneyline · Won 1 odds up 1.62 Portland Trail Blazers to win Confidence61% model 55.4% · market 58.4% edge −3.0%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 68%
Picks for this game
Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result
Moneyline 1 odds up 1.62 55.4% 58.4% −3.0% 61% Won
Total points U238.5 1.52 77.6% 59.9% +17.7% 81% Won
Point spread PHX +4.5 odds up 1.82 55.5% 50.3% +5.2% 61% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.

Predicted final score
ActualPredicted
Portland Trail Blazers124113
Phoenix Suns83110
Total 223 actual 207
Winning margin POR by 3 actual POR by 41
Chance to win POR 55% POR won
Predicted final score
ActualPredicted
Portland Trail Blazers124113
Phoenix Suns83110

Total 223 Margin POR by 3 Win POR 55% Actual 207 · POR won

Portland Trail Blazers host Phoenix Suns in the NBA on Wednesday, October 21, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.