Portland Trail Blazers vs Golden State Warriors prediction
Portland Trail Blazers
36
21
29
37
Golden State Warriors
31
19
36
32
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 85%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Portland Trail Blazers123117Golden State Warriors118103Portland Trail Blazers123117Golden State Warriors118103Total 220 Margin POR by 14 Win POR 77% Actual 241 · POR won
Portland Trail Blazers
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Golden State Warriors
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Portland Trail Blazers vs Golden State Warriors
Portland Trail Blazers
Golden State Warriors
Last 5 and 7 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Portland Trail Blazers 3, Golden State Warriors 2.
- Average total 247.4 points per meeting
- Over 215.5 5 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting GSW by 10 Oct 16, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 16, 2026 NBA Golden State Warriors 128–118 Portland Trail Blazers 246 pts
- Jan 13, 2026 NBA Golden State Warriors 119–97 Portland Trail Blazers 216 pts
- Dec 14, 2025 NBA Portland Trail Blazers 136–131 Golden State Warriors 267 pts
- Nov 21, 2025 NBA Golden State Warriors 123–127 Portland Trail Blazers 250 pts
- Oct 24, 2025 NBA Portland Trail Blazers 139–119 Golden State Warriors 258 pts
Last five games
Portland Trail Blazers
1-4 - Apr 28: San Antonio Spurs 114, Portland Trail Blazers 95. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 26: Portland Trail Blazers 93, San Antonio Spurs 114. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 24: Portland Trail Blazers 108, San Antonio Spurs 120. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 21: San Antonio Spurs 103, Portland Trail Blazers 106. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 19: San Antonio Spurs 111, Portland Trail Blazers 98. Lost. No odds on record.
Golden State Warriors
2-3 - Oct 6: Golden State Warriors 124, Los Angeles Lakers 98. Won. Odds: Golden State Warriors 1.37, Los Angeles Lakers 3.00.
- Oct 4: Los Angeles Clippers 104, Golden State Warriors 101. Lost. Odds: Los Angeles Clippers 2.15, Golden State Warriors 1.74.
- Apr 17: Phoenix Suns 111, Golden State Warriors 96. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 15: Los Angeles Clippers 121, Golden State Warriors 126. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 12: Los Angeles Clippers 115, Golden State Warriors 110. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for Golden State Warriors, who played yesterday.
- 3-game losing streak for Portland Trail Blazers coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Portland Trail Blazers dropped from 1.43 to 1.14 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved down from 222.5 to 215.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 6.6 — Portland Trail Blazers +10.6 per 100 possessions, Golden State Warriors +4.0.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| POR moneyline | 1.43 | moved down 1.14 |
| GSW moneyline | 2.80 | moved up 5.19 |
| Total points | 222.5 | moved down 215.5 |
| POR spread | −6.5 | moved down −14.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBA standings
Pre-season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Memphis Grizzlies |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 470 | 443 | +27 |
| 2 |  Utah Jazz |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 453 | 439 | +14 |
| 3 |  New Orleans Pelicans |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 442 | 441 | +1 |
| 4 | Golden State Warriors |
6 | 4 | 2 | .667 | 683 | 638 | +45 |
| 5 |  Houston Rockets |
3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 366 | 338 | +28 |
| 6 | Portland Trail Blazers |
3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 351 | 344 | +7 |
| 7 |  Los Angeles Clippers |
3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 332 | 325 | +7 |
| 8 |  Denver Nuggets |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 578 | 571 | +7 |
| 9 |  Minnesota Timberwolves |
6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 697 | 709 | −12 |
| 10 |  San Antonio Spurs |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 572 | 544 | +28 |
| 11 |  Los Angeles Lakers |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 534 | 559 | −25 |
| 12 |  Dallas Mavericks |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 457 | 486 | −29 |
| 13 |  Phoenix Suns |
5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 545 | 573 | −28 |
| 14 |  Oklahoma City Thunder |
5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 549 | 585 | −36 |
| 15 |  Sacramento Kings |
5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 514 | 588 | −74 |
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Portland Trail Blazers host Golden State Warriors in the NBA on Wednesday, October 7, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.