Portland Fire vs Golden State Valkyries prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 61%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 156 Margin POR by 8 Win POR 71% Actual 172 · POR won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Portland Fire vs Golden State Valkyries
Last 30 and 29 games with full stats · all competitions
Portland Fire at home, last 20 games · Golden State Valkyries away, last 26
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Portland Fire 0, Golden State Valkyries 3.
- Average total 158.3 points per meeting
- Over 158.5 1 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting GSV by 16 Sep 18, 2026
Meetings
- Sep 18, 2026 WNBA Golden State Valkyries 82–66 Portland Fire 148 pts
- Aug 30, 2026 WNBA Portland Fire 69–86 Golden State Valkyries 155 pts
- Jun 2, 2026 WNBA Golden State Valkyries 95–77 Portland Fire 172 pts
Last five games
- Sep 20: Los Angeles Sparks 105, Portland Fire 84. Lost. Odds: Los Angeles Sparks 1.73, Portland Fire 2.06.
- Sep 18: Golden State Valkyries 82, Portland Fire 66. Lost. Odds: Golden State Valkyries 1.10, Portland Fire 5.85.
- Sep 17: Portland Fire 91, Phoenix Mercury 94. Lost. Odds: Portland Fire 2.25, Phoenix Mercury 1.61.
- Aug 30: Portland Fire 69, Golden State Valkyries 86. Lost. No odds on record.
- Aug 28: Atlanta Dream 83, Portland Fire 101. Won. No odds on record.
- Sep 19: Golden State Valkyries 70, Seattle Storm 57. Won. Odds: Golden State Valkyries 1.11, Seattle Storm 6.00.
- Sep 18: Golden State Valkyries 82, Portland Fire 66. Won. Odds: Golden State Valkyries 1.10, Portland Fire 5.85.
- Aug 30: Portland Fire 69, Golden State Valkyries 86. Won. No odds on record.
- Aug 27: New York Liberty 60, Golden State Valkyries 79. Won. No odds on record.
- Aug 26: Connecticut Sun 64, Golden State Valkyries 89. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 6-game winning streak for Golden State Valkyries coming into this game.
- 4-game losing streak for Portland Fire coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Golden State Valkyries dropped from 1.15 to 1.08 since they were first published.
- 3-0 in the last 3 meetings for Golden State Valkyries.
- Net rating difference of 12.7 — Portland Fire −6.7 per 100 possessions, Golden State Valkyries +6.0.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| POR moneyline | 4.90 | moved up 7.60 |
| GSV moneyline | 1.15 | moved down 1.08 |
| Total points | 157.5 | moved up 158.5 |
| POR spread | +14.5 | +14.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
WNBA standings
Regular Season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 44 | 33 | 11 | .750 | 3997 | 3681 | +316 | |
| 2 | 44 | 32 | 12 | .727 | 3615 | 3306 | +309 | |
| 3 | 44 | 31 | 13 | .705 | 4025 | 3776 | +249 | |
| 4 | 44 | 27 | 17 | .614 | 3933 | 3751 | +182 | |
| 5 | 44 | 17 | 27 | .386 | 3794 | 4005 | −211 | |
| 6 | 44 | 16 | 28 | .364 | 3830 | 4018 | −188 | |
| 7 | 44 | 16 | 28 | .364 | 3712 | 3854 | −142 | |
| 8 | 44 | 8 | 36 | .182 | 3616 | 3913 | −297 |
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Portland Fire host Golden State Valkyries in the WNBA on Tuesday, September 22, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.