Portimonense vs Oliveirense prediction
Portimonense
20
19
16
27
Oliveirense
34
19
16
22
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 67%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Portimonense8281Oliveirense9176Portimonense8281Oliveirense9176Total 157 Margin POR by 5 Win POR 60% Actual 173 · OLI won
Portimonense
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Oliveirense
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Portimonense vs Oliveirense
Portimonense
Oliveirense
Last 30 and 29 games with full stats · all competitions
Portimonense at home, last 17 games · Oliveirense away, last 16
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
Portimonense
2-3 - May 17: CD Povoa 90, Portimonense 86. After overtime. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 16: CD Povoa 68, Portimonense 71. After overtime. Won. No odds on record.
- May 9: Portimonense 90, CD Povoa 93. After overtime. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 1: CD Povoa 71, Portimonense 66. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 25: Portimonense 63, Illiabum 59. Won. No odds on record.
Oliveirense
2-3 - May 28: Oliveirense 78, Benfica 86. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 23: Benfica 86, Oliveirense 61. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 21: Benfica 98, Oliveirense 76. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 16: Ovarense 65, Oliveirense 69. Won. No odds on record.
- May 13: Oliveirense 90, Ovarense 72. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Oliveirense coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Oliveirense dropped from 1.25 to 1.13 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved down from 164.5 to 161.5 since it was first published.
- 11th vs 5th in the LPB standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| POR moneyline | 3.60 | moved up 5.10 |
| OLI moneyline | 1.25 | moved down 1.13 |
| Total points | 164.5 | moved down 161.5 |
| POR spread | +8.5 | moved up +11.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
LPB standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ovarense |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 409 | 370 | +39 |
| 2 |  FC Porto |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 467 | 430 | +37 |
| 3 |  Benfica |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 437 | 375 | +62 |
| 4 |  Braga |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 457 | 396 | +61 |
| 5 | Oliveirense |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 375 | 363 | +12 |
| 6 |  Sporting CP |
5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 400 | 405 | −5 |
| 7 |  Vitoria |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 300 | 328 | −28 |
| 8 |  CD Povoa |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 297 | 291 | +6 |
| 9 |  CAB Madeira |
5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 431 | 446 | −15 |
| 10 |  CA Queluz |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 356 | 375 | −19 |
| 11 | Portimonense |
5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 380 | 443 | −63 |
| 12 |  Esgueira |
5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 388 | 475 | −87 |
- Quarter-finals
- Relegation - Proliga
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Portimonense host Oliveirense in the LPB on Saturday, October 3, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.