Portimonense vs Benfica prediction
Portimonense
19
19
16
18
Benfica
16
27
14
29
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 60%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Portimonense7281Benfica8684Portimonense7281Benfica8684Total 165 Margin BEN by 3 Win BEN 58% Actual 158 · BEN won
Portimonense
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Benfica
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Portimonense vs Benfica
Portimonense
Benfica
Last 30 and 11 games with full stats · all competitions
Portimonense at home, last 17 games · Benfica away, last 5
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
Portimonense
0-5 - Oct 24: Vitoria 74, Portimonense 72. Lost. Odds: Vitoria 1.14, Portimonense 4.20.
- Oct 17: Portimonense 83, CA Queluz 87. Lost. Odds: Portimonense 2.00, CA Queluz 1.52.
- Oct 11: Braga 105, Portimonense 71. Lost. Odds: Braga 1.18, Portimonense 4.35.
- Oct 3: Portimonense 82, Oliveirense 91. Lost. Odds: Portimonense 5.10, Oliveirense 1.13.
- May 17: CD Povoa 90, Portimonense 86. After overtime. Lost. No odds on record.
Benfica
4-1 - Oct 28: Geneva Lions 93, Benfica 90. Lost. Odds: Geneva Lions 2.10, Benfica 1.62.
- Oct 24: CA Queluz 72, Benfica 89. Won. Odds: CA Queluz 6.50, Benfica 1.04.
- Oct 21: Benfica 98, BC Prievidza 83. Won. Odds: Benfica 1.28, BC Prievidza 3.25.
- Oct 17: Benfica 92, Oliveirense 67. Won. Odds: Benfica 1.11, Oliveirense 3.90.
- Oct 14: Benfica 96, Denizli Basket 91. Won. Odds: Benfica 2.18, Denizli Basket 1.42.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 5-game losing streak for Portimonense coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 6 days off for Portimonense, 2 for Benfica.
- Net rating difference of 12.1 — Portimonense −1.8 per 100 possessions, Benfica +10.3.
- 4-1 in the last five for Benfica.
- 11th vs 3rd in the LPB standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| POR moneyline | 9.00 | moved down 7.50 |
| BEN moneyline | 1.01 | moved up 1.02 |
| Total points | 168.5 | 168.5 |
| POR spread | +20.5 | +20.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
LPB standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ovarense |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 409 | 370 | +39 |
| 2 |  FC Porto |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 467 | 430 | +37 |
| 3 | Benfica |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 437 | 375 | +62 |
| 4 |  Braga |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 457 | 396 | +61 |
| 5 |  Oliveirense |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 375 | 363 | +12 |
| 6 |  Sporting CP |
5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 400 | 405 | −5 |
| 7 |  Vitoria |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 300 | 328 | −28 |
| 8 |  CD Povoa |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 297 | 291 | +6 |
| 9 |  CAB Madeira |
5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 431 | 446 | −15 |
| 10 |  CA Queluz |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 356 | 375 | −19 |
| 11 | Portimonense |
5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 380 | 443 | −63 |
| 12 |  Esgueira |
5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 388 | 475 | −87 |
- Quarter-finals
- Relegation - Proliga
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Portimonense host Benfica in the LPB on Saturday, October 31, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.