Polonia Warszawa vs Sosnowiec prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 60%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 148 Win SOS 51% Actual 160 · POL won
Polonia Warszawa vs Sosnowiec
Last 5 games each with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Polonia Warszawa 1, Sosnowiec 1.
- Average total 164.5 points per meeting
- Over 149.5 2 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting POL by 13 Jan 2, 2026
Meetings
- Jan 2, 2026 Energa Basket Liga Women Sosnowiec 77–90 Polonia Warszawa 167 pts
- Oct 19, 2025 Energa Basket Liga Women Polonia Warszawa 59–103 Sosnowiec 162 pts
Last five games
- Oct 18: Basket 25 Bydgoszcz 78, Polonia Warszawa 81. Won. Odds: Basket 25 Bydgoszcz 3.50, Polonia Warszawa 1.20.
- Oct 11: Wisla Krakow 73, Polonia Warszawa 77. Won. Odds: Wisla Krakow 1.20, Polonia Warszawa 3.66.
- Oct 3: Polonia Warszawa 80, Widzew Lodz 69. Won. Odds: Polonia Warszawa 1.68, Widzew Lodz 2.00.
- Sep 27: Polonia Warszawa 97, Pruszkow 76. Won. Odds: Polonia Warszawa 1.02, Pruszkow 9.64.
- Mar 7: Polonia Warszawa 88, Bochnia 95. Lost. No odds on record.
- Oct 18: Gorzow 79, Sosnowiec 59. Lost. Odds: Gorzow 1.04, Sosnowiec 6.30.
- Oct 10: AZS Poznan 72, Sosnowiec 56. Lost. Odds: AZS Poznan 1.10, Sosnowiec 5.37.
- Oct 7: Sosnowiec 76, Sleza Wroclaw 72. Won. Odds: Sosnowiec 6.50, Sleza Wroclaw 1.07.
- Oct 3: Torun 76, Sosnowiec 61. Lost. Odds: Torun 1.90, Sosnowiec 1.77.
- Sep 26: Sosnowiec 73, Bochnia 36. Won. Odds: Sosnowiec 1.24, Bochnia 3.33.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-game winning streak for Polonia Warszawa coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Polonia Warszawa dropped from 1.60 to 1.44 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved down from 151.5 to 149.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 23.1 — Polonia Warszawa +9.9 per 100 possessions, Sosnowiec −13.2.
- 6th vs 10th in the Energa Basket Liga Women standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| POL moneyline | 1.60 | moved down 1.44 |
| SOS moneyline | 2.11 | moved up 2.40 |
| Total points | 151.5 | moved down 149.5 |
| POL spread | −2.5 | moved down −3.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Energa Basket Liga Women standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 640 | 545 | +95 | |
| 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 526 | 459 | +67 | |
| 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 507 | 385 | +122 | |
| 4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 464 | 357 | +107 | |
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 577 | 504 | +73 | |
| 6 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 479 | 449 | +30 | |
| 7 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 468 | 385 | +83 | |
| 8 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 459 | 428 | +31 | |
| 9 | Wisla Krakow | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 418 | 443 | −25 |
| 10 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 461 | 532 | −71 | |
| 11 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 327 | 443 | −116 | |
| 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 411 | 550 | −139 | |
| 13 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 361 | 618 | −257 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Play Out
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Polonia Warszawa host Sosnowiec in the Energa Basket Liga Women on Sunday, October 25, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.