Polonia Warszawa vs Pelplin prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 76%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 182 Margin POL by 4 Win POL 59% Actual 202 · POL won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Polonia Warszawa vs Pelplin
Last 6 games each with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Polonia Warszawa 1, Pelplin 1.
- Average total 154.5 points per meeting
- Over 177.5 0 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting POL by 13 Mar 15, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 15, 2026 1 Liga Polonia Warszawa 93–80 Pelplin 173 pts
- Nov 22, 2025 1 Liga Pelplin 79–57 Polonia Warszawa 136 pts
Last five games
- Oct 24: R. Rzeszow 79, Polonia Warszawa 83. Won. Odds: R. Rzeszow 1.96, Polonia Warszawa 1.74.
- Oct 18: Polonia Warszawa 81, WKK Wroclaw 89. Lost. Odds: Polonia Warszawa 1.33, WKK Wroclaw 2.80.
- Oct 10: Leszno 99, Polonia Warszawa 77. Lost. Odds: Leszno 1.31, Polonia Warszawa 3.05.
- Oct 4: Polonia Warszawa 90, Inowroclaw 87. Won. Odds: Polonia Warszawa 1.67, Inowroclaw 2.02.
- Sep 26: Kotwica Kolobrzeg 98, Polonia Warszawa 100. After overtime. Won. Odds: Kotwica Kolobrzeg 1.53, Polonia Warszawa 2.30.
- Oct 24: Pelplin 99, Spojnia Stargard 92. Won. Odds: Pelplin 2.70, Spojnia Stargard 1.35.
- Oct 17: R. Rzeszow 98, Pelplin 106. Won. Odds: R. Rzeszow 2.30, Pelplin 1.55.
- Oct 9: Pelplin 91, Krosno 80. Won. Odds: Pelplin 1.92, Krosno 1.78.
- Oct 3: WKK Wroclaw 97, Pelplin 83. Lost. Odds: WKK Wroclaw 2.45, Pelplin 1.48.
- Sep 30: Leszno 91, Pelplin 74. Lost. Odds: Leszno 1.22, Pelplin 3.70.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Pelplin coming into this game.
- Net rating difference of 6.5 — Polonia Warszawa −4.3 per 100 possessions, Pelplin +2.2.
- 5th vs 8th in the 1 Liga standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| POL moneyline | 1.95 | moved down 1.90 |
| PEL moneyline | 1.70 | moved up 1.75 |
| Total points | 177.5 | 177.5 |
| POL spread | +1.5 | +1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
1 Liga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 14 | 636 | 514 | +122 | |
| 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 649 | 600 | +49 | |
| 3 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 616 | 548 | +68 | |
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 639 | 597 | +42 | |
| 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 634 | 639 | −5 | |
| 6 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 582 | 569 | +13 | |
| 7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 558 | 551 | +7 | |
| 8 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 636 | 642 | −6 | |
| 9 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 539 | 557 | −18 | |
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 602 | 593 | +9 | |
| 11 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 629 | 639 | −10 | |
| 12 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 570 | 603 | −33 | |
| 13 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 597 | 610 | −13 | |
| 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 537 | 623 | −86 | |
| 15 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 591 | 642 | −51 | |
| 16 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 571 | 659 | −88 |
- Playoffs
- Relegation
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Polonia Warszawa host Pelplin in the 1 Liga on Saturday, October 31, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.