Polonia Warszawa vs Inowroclaw prediction
Polonia Warszawa
17
23
29
21
Inowroclaw
12
25
25
25
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 67%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Polonia Warszawa9083Inowroclaw8777Polonia Warszawa9083Inowroclaw8777Total 160 Margin POL by 6 Win POL 65% Actual 177 · POL won
Polonia Warszawa
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Inowroclaw
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Polonia Warszawa vs Inowroclaw
Polonia Warszawa
Inowroclaw
Last 6 games each with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Polonia Warszawa 0, Inowroclaw 2.
- Average total 156.5 points per meeting
- Over 167.5 0 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting INO by 12 Mar 22, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 22, 2026 1 Liga Inowroclaw 79–67 Polonia Warszawa 146 pts
- Nov 29, 2025 1 Liga Polonia Warszawa 79–88 Inowroclaw 167 pts
Last five games
Polonia Warszawa
2-3 - Sep 26: Kotwica Kolobrzeg 98, Polonia Warszawa 100. After overtime. Won. Odds: Kotwica Kolobrzeg 1.53, Polonia Warszawa 2.30.
- Sep 21: Polonia Warszawa 95, Lancut 93. Won. Odds: Polonia Warszawa 1.60, Lancut 2.15.
- Apr 15: Kotwica Kolobrzeg 74, Polonia Warszawa 72. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 11: Polonia Warszawa 71, Spojnia Stargard 89. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 2: Zubry Bialystok 90, Polonia Warszawa 80. Lost. No odds on record.
Inowroclaw
3-2 - Sep 26: Inowroclaw 75, R. Rzeszow 62. Won. Odds: Inowroclaw 1.45, R. Rzeszow 2.50.
- Sep 18: WKK Wroclaw 66, Inowroclaw 80. Won. Odds: WKK Wroclaw 2.85, Inowroclaw 1.35.
- Apr 15: Spojnia Stargard 81, Inowroclaw 67. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 8: WKK Wroclaw 79, Inowroclaw 68. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 28: Pelplin 70, Inowroclaw 79. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Polonia Warszawa dropped from 1.90 to 1.67 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved up from 165.5 to 167.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 7.1 — Polonia Warszawa −4.3 per 100 possessions, Inowroclaw +2.8.
- 5th vs 7th in the 1 Liga standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| POL moneyline | 1.90 | moved down 1.67 |
| INO moneyline | 1.80 | moved up 2.02 |
| Total points | 165.5 | moved up 167.5 |
| POL spread | −1.5 | −1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
1 Liga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Leszno |
7 | 7 | 0 | 14 | 636 | 514 | +122 |
| 2 |  Spojnia Stargard |
7 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 649 | 600 | +49 |
| 3 |  LKS Lodz |
7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 616 | 548 | +68 |
| 4 |  Poznan |
7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 639 | 597 | +42 |
| 5 | Polonia Warszawa |
7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 634 | 639 | −5 |
| 6 |  WKK Wroclaw |
7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 582 | 569 | +13 |
| 7 | Inowroclaw |
7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 558 | 551 | +7 |
| 8 |  Pelplin |
7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 636 | 642 | −6 |
| 9 |  GKS Tychy |
7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 539 | 557 | −18 |
| 10 |  Lancut |
7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 602 | 593 | +9 |
| 11 |  Kotwica Kolobrzeg |
7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 629 | 639 | −10 |
| 12 |  Bytom |
7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 570 | 603 | −33 |
| 13 |  Krosno |
7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 597 | 610 | −13 |
| 14 |  R. Rzeszow |
7 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 537 | 623 | −86 |
| 15 |  Starogard Gdanski |
7 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 591 | 642 | −51 |
| 16 |  Poli. Opolska |
7 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 571 | 659 | −88 |
- Playoffs
- Relegation
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Polonia Warszawa host Inowroclaw in the 1 Liga on Sunday, October 4, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.