Plzen vs USK Prague prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 56%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 164 Margin PLZ by 26 Win PLZ 94% Actual 165 · PRA won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Plzen vs USK Prague
Last 10 and 9 games with full stats · all competitions
Plzen at home, last 5 games · USK Prague away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
- Sep 27: Plzen 81, Srsni Pisek 88. Lost. Odds: Plzen 12.50, Srsni Pisek 1.01.
- Sep 23: Usti n. Labem 115, Plzen 74. Lost. Odds: Usti n. Labem –, Plzen 20.50.
- Sep 17: Plzen 79, Decin 109. Lost. Odds: Plzen 8.60, Decin 1.02.
- Mar 29: Svitavy 107, Plzen 94. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 27: Plzen 91, Svitavy 96. After overtime. Lost. No odds on record.
- Sep 26: USK Prague 80, Usti n. Labem 89. Lost. Odds: USK Prague 1.54, Usti n. Labem 2.37.
- Sep 23: Decin 74, USK Prague 57. Lost. Odds: Decin 1.75, USK Prague 2.01.
- Sep 19: USK Prague 80, Slavia Prague ERA NBK 88. Lost. Odds: USK Prague 10.20, Slavia Prague ERA NBK 1.01.
- Apr 23: USK Prague 92, Srsni Pisek 100. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 21: Srsni Pisek 78, USK Prague 65. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 8-game losing streak for USK Prague coming into this game.
- 5-game losing streak for Plzen coming into this game.
- 0-5 at home for Plzen this season.
- Net rating difference of 17.7 — Plzen −17.2 per 100 possessions, USK Prague +0.5.
- −9.1 points away — USK Prague averaged 87.6 at home and 78.5 away this season.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| PLZ moneyline | 8.69 | moved down 8.32 |
| PRA moneyline | 1.05 | 1.05 |
| Total points | 168.5 | 168.5 |
| PLZ spread · regulation | +16.5 | moved up +18.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 8 | 1 | .889 | 893 | 722 | +171 | |
| 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | .818 | 985 | 862 | +123 | |
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | .750 | 683 | 602 | +81 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 789 | 704 | +85 | |
| 5 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 768 | 713 | +55 | |
| 6 | 8 | 5 | 3 | .625 | 714 | 691 | +23 | |
| 7 | 10 | 4 | 6 | .400 | 837 | 857 | −20 | |
| 8 | 9 | 3 | 6 | .333 | 728 | 763 | −35 | |
| 9 | 9 | 3 | 6 | .333 | 778 | 844 | −66 | |
| 10 | 9 | 3 | 6 | .333 | 751 | 819 | −68 | |
| 11 | 9 | 1 | 8 | .111 | 585 | 789 | −204 | |
| 12 | 10 | 1 | 9 | .100 | 762 | 907 | −145 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Plzen host USK Prague in the NBL on Wednesday, September 30, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.