Plzen vs Decin prediction
Plzen
13
30
19
17
Decin
20
28
31
30
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 50%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Plzen7986Decin10976Plzen7986Decin10976Total 162 Margin PLZ by 10 Win PLZ 71% Actual 188 · DEC won
Plzen
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Decin
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Plzen vs Decin
Plzen
Decin
Last 10 and 9 games with full stats · all competitions
Plzen at home, last 5 games · Decin away, last 6
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
Plzen
2-3 - Mar 29: Svitavy 107, Plzen 94. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 27: Plzen 91, Svitavy 96. After overtime. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 20: Pardubice 2 82, Plzen 87. Won. No odds on record.
- Mar 15: Plzen 85, Novy Jicin 77. Won. No odds on record.
- Mar 6: Zlin 87, Plzen 66. Lost. No odds on record.
Decin
2-3 - May 11: Brno 98, Decin 78. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 8: Decin 81, Brno 86. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 5: Brno 75, Decin 65. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 2: Decin 84, Brno 75. Won. No odds on record.
- May 1: Decin 82, Brno 66. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Decin coming into this game.
- 0-5 at home for Plzen this season.
- Over/under moved up from 163.5 to 165.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 25.2 — Plzen −17.2 per 100 possessions, Decin +8.0.
- 12th vs 3rd in the NBL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| PLZ moneyline | 8.21 | moved up 8.60 |
| DEC moneyline | 1.06 | moved down 1.02 |
| Total points | 163.5 | moved up 165.5 |
| PLZ spread · regulation | +19.5 | +19.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Slavia Prague ERA NBK |
9 | 8 | 1 | .889 | 893 | 722 | +171 |
| 2 |  Pardubice |
11 | 9 | 2 | .818 | 985 | 862 | +123 |
| 3 | Decin |
8 | 6 | 2 | .750 | 683 | 602 | +81 |
| 4 |  Usti n. Labem |
9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 789 | 704 | +85 |
| 5 |  NH Ostrava |
9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 768 | 713 | +55 |
| 6 |  Srsni Pisek |
8 | 5 | 3 | .625 | 714 | 691 | +23 |
| 7 |  USK Prague |
10 | 4 | 6 | .400 | 837 | 857 | −20 |
| 8 |  Brno |
9 | 3 | 6 | .333 | 728 | 763 | −35 |
| 9 |  Hradec Kralove |
9 | 3 | 6 | .333 | 778 | 844 | −66 |
| 10 |  Opava |
9 | 3 | 6 | .333 | 751 | 819 | −68 |
| 11 |  Olomoucko |
9 | 1 | 8 | .111 | 585 | 789 | −204 |
| 12 | Plzen |
10 | 1 | 9 | .100 | 762 | 907 | −145 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Plzen host Decin in the NBL on Thursday, September 17, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.