Plzen vs Brno prediction
Plzen
20
8
20
21
Brno
25
23
17
18
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Plzen6992Brno8379Plzen6992Brno8379Total 171 Margin PLZ by 13 Win PLZ 74% Actual 152 · BRN won
Plzen
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Brno
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Plzen vs Brno
Plzen
Brno
Last 10 and 9 games with full stats · all competitions
Plzen at home, last 5 games · Brno away, last 6
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
Plzen
0-5 - Oct 3: Opava 92, Plzen 82. Lost. Odds: Opava –, Plzen 16.30.
- Sep 30: Plzen 81, USK Prague 84. Lost. Odds: Plzen 8.32, USK Prague 1.05.
- Sep 27: Plzen 81, Srsni Pisek 88. Lost. Odds: Plzen 12.50, Srsni Pisek 1.01.
- Sep 23: Usti n. Labem 115, Plzen 74. Lost. Odds: Usti n. Labem –, Plzen 20.50.
- Sep 17: Plzen 79, Decin 109. Lost. Odds: Plzen 8.60, Decin 1.02.
Brno
0-5 - Oct 4: Usti n. Labem 83, Brno 68. Lost. Odds: Usti n. Labem 1.29, Brno 3.33.
- Sep 30: Decin 86, Brno 78. Lost. Odds: Decin 1.40, Brno 2.80.
- Sep 26: Brno 96, Slavia Prague ERA NBK 108. Lost. Odds: Brno 7.50, Slavia Prague ERA NBK 1.05.
- Sep 23: NH Ostrava 85, Brno 76. Lost. Odds: NH Ostrava 1.44, Brno 2.63.
- Sep 19: Pardubice 85, Brno 79. Lost. Odds: Pardubice 1.13, Brno 5.10.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 7-game losing streak for Plzen coming into this game.
- 7-game losing streak for Brno coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Brno dropped from 1.37 to 1.20 since they were first published.
- 0-5 at home for Plzen this season.
- Net rating difference of 12.9 — Plzen −17.2 per 100 possessions, Brno −4.3.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| PLZ moneyline | 2.93 | moved up 4.27 |
| BRN moneyline | 1.37 | moved down 1.20 |
| Total points | 171.5 | 171.5 |
| PLZ spread | +9.5 | +9.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Slavia Prague ERA NBK |
9 | 8 | 1 | .889 | 893 | 722 | +171 |
| 2 |  Pardubice |
11 | 9 | 2 | .818 | 985 | 862 | +123 |
| 3 |  Decin |
8 | 6 | 2 | .750 | 683 | 602 | +81 |
| 4 |  Usti n. Labem |
9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 789 | 704 | +85 |
| 5 |  NH Ostrava |
9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 768 | 713 | +55 |
| 6 |  Srsni Pisek |
8 | 5 | 3 | .625 | 714 | 691 | +23 |
| 7 |  USK Prague |
10 | 4 | 6 | .400 | 837 | 857 | −20 |
| 8 | Brno |
9 | 3 | 6 | .333 | 728 | 763 | −35 |
| 9 |  Hradec Kralove |
9 | 3 | 6 | .333 | 778 | 844 | −66 |
| 10 |  Opava |
9 | 3 | 6 | .333 | 751 | 819 | −68 |
| 11 |  Olomoucko |
9 | 1 | 8 | .111 | 585 | 789 | −204 |
| 12 | Plzen |
10 | 1 | 9 | .100 | 762 | 907 | −145 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Plzen host Brno in the NBL on Sunday, October 11, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.