Plunges Olimpas vs Kretinga prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 76%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 173 Margin PLU by 7 Win PLU 66% Actual 183 · PLU won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Plunges Olimpas vs Kretinga
Last 10 games each with full stats · all competitions
Plunges Olimpas at home, last 5 games · Kretinga away, last 5
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Plunges Olimpas 1, Kretinga 2.
- Average total 149.7 points per meeting
- Over 166.5 0 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting PLU by 2 Feb 14, 2026
Meetings
- Feb 14, 2026 NKL Plunges Olimpas 75–73 Kretinga 148 pts
- Jan 22, 2026 NKL Plunges Olimpas 77–82 Kretinga 159 pts
- Nov 6, 2025 NKL Kretinga 78–64 Plunges Olimpas 142 pts
Last five games
- Oct 3: Telsiai 90, Plunges Olimpas 70. Lost. Odds: Telsiai 1.40, Plunges Olimpas 2.75.
- Oct 1: Plunges Olimpas 85, Silute 92. Lost. Odds: Plunges Olimpas 1.72, Silute 1.95.
- Mar 14: Plunges Olimpas 98, Omega-Tauras 89. Won. No odds on record.
- Mar 12: BC Olimpas Palanga 72, Plunges Olimpas 79. Won. No odds on record.
- Mar 7: Neptunas 2 100, Plunges Olimpas 106. Won. No odds on record.
- Oct 3: Vilkaviskis 84, Kretinga 65. Lost. Odds: Vilkaviskis 1.33, Kretinga 2.95.
- Oct 1: Kretinga 76, Neptunas 2 91. Lost. Odds: Kretinga 2.10, Neptunas 2 1.62.
- Apr 10: Vytis VDU 90, Kretinga 85. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 8: Kretinga 69, Vytis VDU 75. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 4: Vytis VDU 103, Kretinga 107. After overtime. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-game losing streak for Kretinga coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Plunges Olimpas dropped from 1.80 to 1.60 since they were first published.
- Net rating difference of 12.4 — Plunges Olimpas +2.0 per 100 possessions, Kretinga −10.4.
- 2-1 in the last 3 meetings for Kretinga.
- +15.6 points at home — Plunges Olimpas averaged 90.8 at home and 75.2 away this season.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| PLU moneyline | 1.80 | moved down 1.60 |
| KRE moneyline | 1.87 | moved up 2.15 |
| Total points | 167.5 | moved down 166.5 |
| PLU spread | −1.5 | moved down −3.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NKL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 20 | 882 | 725 | +157 | |
| 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 17 | 793 | 667 | +126 | |
| 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 930 | 806 | +124 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 693 | 668 | +25 | |
| 5 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 870 | 824 | +46 | |
| 6 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 667 | 619 | +48 | |
| 7 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 814 | 781 | +33 | |
| 8 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 752 | 627 | +125 | |
| 9 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 861 | 882 | −21 | |
| 10 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 658 | 648 | +10 | |
| 11 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 957 | 971 | −14 | |
| 12 | Kedainiai BC | 10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 768 | 838 | −70 |
| 13 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 733 | 762 | −29 | |
| 14 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 737 | 817 | −80 | |
| 15 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 797 | 881 | −84 | |
| 16 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 765 | 865 | −100 | |
| 17 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 751 | 873 | −122 | |
| 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 696 | 870 | −174 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Plunges Olimpas host Kretinga in the NKL on Thursday, October 8, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.