Pistoia vs Vigevano prediction
Pistoia
21
27
21
20
Vigevano
18
15
20
17
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 75%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Pistoia8983Vigevano7078Pistoia8983Vigevano7078Total 161 Margin PIS by 5 Win PIS 62% Actual 159 · PIS won
Pistoia vs Vigevano
Pistoia
Vigevano
Last five games
Pistoia
1-4 - Oct 11: Sebastiani Rieti 78, Pistoia 70. Lost. Odds: Sebastiani Rieti 1.27, Pistoia 3.45.
- Oct 4: Pistoia 77, Basket Torino 84. Lost. Odds: Pistoia 1.39, Basket Torino 2.77.
- Sep 27: Libertas Livorno 63, Pistoia 62. Lost. Odds: Libertas Livorno 1.22, Pistoia 3.90.
- May 13: Ruvo Di Puglia 78, Pistoia 80. Won. No odds on record.
- May 10: Pistoia 81, Ruvo Di Puglia 88. After overtime. Lost. No odds on record.
Vigevano
0-3 - Oct 11: Cento 98, Vigevano 88. Lost. Odds: Cento 1.42, Vigevano 2.67.
- Oct 4: Vigevano 64, Sebastiani Rieti 78. Lost. Odds: Vigevano 2.25, Sebastiani Rieti 1.55.
- Sep 27: Avellino Basket 87, Vigevano 69. Lost. Odds: Avellino Basket 1.18, Vigevano 4.10.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Pistoia coming into this game.
- 3-game losing streak for Vigevano coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Vigevano dropped from 4.50 to 3.10 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved up from 151.5 to 153.5 since it was first published.
- 11th vs 16th in the Serie A2 standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| PIS moneyline | 1.17 | moved up 1.33 |
| VIG moneyline | 4.50 | moved down 3.10 |
| Total points | 151.5 | moved up 153.5 |
| PIS spread | −10.5 | moved up −7.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Serie A2 standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Libertas Livorno |
7 | 7 | 0 | 14 | 577 | 483 | +94 |
| 2 |  Avellino Basket |
7 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 565 | 511 | +54 |
| 3 |  Fortitudo Bologna |
7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 554 | 528 | +26 |
| 4 |  Rimini |
7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 578 | 497 | +81 |
| 5 |  Pesaro |
7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 569 | 538 | +31 |
| 6 |  Sebastiani Rieti |
7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 525 | 524 | +1 |
| 7 |  Basket Torino |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 375 | 367 | +8 |
| 8 |  Forli |
7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 586 | 548 | +38 |
| 9 |  Brindisi |
7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 536 | 513 | +23 |
| 10 |  Sassari |
7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 532 | 531 | +1 |
| 11 | Pistoia |
7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 533 | 485 | +48 |
| 12 |  Cividale |
7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 495 | 521 | −26 |
| 13 |  Caserta |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 479 | 501 | −22 |
| 14 |  Mestre |
7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 511 | 534 | −23 |
| 15 |  Cento |
7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 515 | 585 | −70 |
| 16 | Vigevano |
7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 544 | 599 | −55 |
| 17 |  Ruvo Di Puglia |
7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 546 | 592 | −46 |
| 18 |  Montecatini |
6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 432 | 505 | −73 |
| 19 |  Urania Milano |
7 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 530 | 572 | −42 |
| 20 |  JuVi Cremona |
7 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 514 | 562 | −48 |
- Lega A
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Play-in: Final
- Play-in: Semi-finals
- Play Out
- Relegation
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Pistoia host Vigevano in the Serie A2 on Sunday, October 18, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.