Pistoia vs Fortitudo Bologna Prediction & Odds

Serie A2 Sunday, November 1, 2026Sun, Nov 1 Start12:00ET Round 7

PistoiaHome · 3-3 · 9th · 1.74

6421171313

Fortitudo BolognaAway · 4-2 · 6th · 1.95

6616251312

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Pistoia 21 17 13 13

Fortitudo Bologna 16 25 13 12

FT PalaCarrara · ItalyPalaCarrara · Round 7

Best tip of the game

Point spread Won

PIS +7.5 1.33 69%

Pistoia +7.5 on the spread edge +8.0%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Won PIS +7.5 1.33 Pistoia +7.5 on the spread Confidence69% model 80.2% · market 72.2% edge +8.0%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 74%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.74 77.3% 50.8% +26.5% 68% Lost

Total points O144.5 1.42 81.1% 65.6% +15.5% 85% Lost

Point spread PIS +7.5 1.33 80.2% 72.2% +8.0% 69% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Pistoia6487

Fortitudo Bologna6671

Total 158 actual 130

Winning margin PIS by 16 actual FOR by 2

Chance to win PIS 87% FOR won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Pistoia6487

Fortitudo Bologna6671

Total 158 Margin PIS by 16 Win PIS 87% Actual 130 · FOR won

Last five games

Pistoia 3-2

Oct 25: JuVi Cremona 72, Pistoia 75. Won. Odds: JuVi Cremona 1.95, Pistoia 1.74.
Oct 21: Cento 52, Pistoia 96. Won. Odds: Cento 1.87, Pistoia 1.80.
Oct 18: Pistoia 89, Vigevano 70. Won. Odds: Pistoia 1.33, Vigevano 3.10.
Oct 11: Sebastiani Rieti 78, Pistoia 70. Lost. Odds: Sebastiani Rieti 1.27, Pistoia 3.45.
Oct 4: Pistoia 77, Basket Torino 84. Lost. Odds: Pistoia 1.39, Basket Torino 2.77.

Fortitudo Bologna 3-2

Oct 25: Fortitudo Bologna 85, Vigevano 93. Lost. Odds: Fortitudo Bologna 1.05, Vigevano 8.50.
Oct 21: Libertas Livorno 85, Fortitudo Bologna 59. Lost. Odds: Libertas Livorno 1.56, Fortitudo Bologna 2.30.
Oct 17: Fortitudo Bologna 91, Montecatini 69. Won. Odds: Fortitudo Bologna 1.05, Montecatini 6.80.
Oct 11: Fortitudo Bologna 78, Rimini 66. Won. Odds: Fortitudo Bologna 1.38, Rimini 2.80.
Oct 4: Caserta 81, Fortitudo Bologna 83. Won. Odds: Caserta 2.95, Fortitudo Bologna 1.35.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
PIS moneyline	1.80	moved down 1.74
FOR moneyline	1.86	moved up 1.95
Total points	151.5	151.5
PIS spread	−1.5	moved up +1.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

Serie A2 standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Libertas Livorno	6	6	0	12	490	402	+88
2	Avellino Basket	6	5	1	11	486	441	+45
3	Pesaro	6	5	1	11	499	459	+40
4	Rimini	7	5	2	12	578	497	+81
5	Basket Torino	5	4	1	9	375	367	+8
6	Fortitudo Bologna	6	4	2	10	488	464	+24
7	Sebastiani Rieti	6	4	2	10	452	459	−7
8	Brindisi	7	4	3	11	536	513	+23
9	Pistoia	6	3	3	9	469	419	+50
10	Forli	6	3	3	9	500	477	+23
11	Sassari	6	3	3	9	437	456	−19
12	Cividale	7	3	4	10	495	521	−26
13	Caserta	5	2	3	7	404	406	−2
14	Ruvo Di Puglia	6	2	4	8	475	506	−31
15	Vigevano	6	2	4	8	463	512	−49
16	Mestre	7	3	4	10	511	534	−23
17	Cento	7	2	5	9	515	585	−70
18	Montecatini	6	1	5	7	432	505	−73
19	Urania Milano	7	1	6	8	530	572	−42
20	JuVi Cremona	6	0	6	6	449	489	−40

Lega A
Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Play-in: Final
Play-in: Semi-finals
Play Out
Relegation

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Pistoia host Fortitudo Bologna in the Serie A2 on Sunday, November 1, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.

All predictions