Piratas de Bogota vs Motilones del Norte prediction


All predictions
2 picks graded · Average confidence 59%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 167 Margin PDB by 3 Win PDB 54% Actual 167 · PDB won
Piratas de Bogota vs Motilones del Norte
Last 14 and 9 games with full stats · all competitions
Piratas de Bogota at home, last 8 games · Motilones del Norte away, last 5
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Piratas de Bogota 3, Motilones del Norte 2.
- Average total 155.6 points per meeting
- Over 162.5 2 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting MDN by 3 Oct 14, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 14, 2026 LBP Piratas de Bogota 66–69 Motilones del Norte 135 pts
- Oct 1, 2026 LBP Motilones del Norte 95–87 Piratas de Bogota 182 pts
- Sep 30, 2026 LBP Motilones del Norte 80–83 Piratas de Bogota 163 pts
- Apr 17, 2026 LBP Motilones del Norte 67–82 Piratas de Bogota 149 pts
- Apr 16, 2026 LBP Motilones del Norte 72–77 Piratas de Bogota 149 pts
Last five games
- Oct 9: Capitanes Bogota 59, Piratas de Bogota 73. Won. Odds: Capitanes Bogota 3.75, Piratas de Bogota 1.21.
- Oct 8: Capitanes Bogota 75, Piratas de Bogota 90. Won. Odds: Capitanes Bogota 3.49, Piratas de Bogota 1.26.
- Oct 5: Piratas de Bogota 63, Caimanes del Llano 67. Lost. Odds: Piratas de Bogota 2.60, Caimanes del Llano 1.42.
- Oct 4: Piratas de Bogota 70, Caimanes del Llano 92. Lost. Odds: Piratas de Bogota 1.64, Caimanes del Llano 2.08.
- Oct 1: Motilones del Norte 95, Piratas de Bogota 87. Lost. Odds: Motilones del Norte 1.75, Piratas de Bogota 1.93.
- Oct 9: Caimanes del Llano 84, Motilones del Norte 71. Lost. Odds: Caimanes del Llano 1.62, Motilones del Norte 2.10.
- Oct 8: Caimanes del Llano 91, Motilones del Norte 115. Won. Odds: Caimanes del Llano 1.29, Motilones del Norte 3.15.
- Oct 6: Capitanes Bogota 71, Motilones del Norte 81. Won. Odds: Capitanes Bogota 1.20, Motilones del Norte 4.00.
- Oct 1: Motilones del Norte 95, Piratas de Bogota 87. Won. Odds: Motilones del Norte 1.75, Piratas de Bogota 1.93.
- Sep 30: Motilones del Norte 80, Piratas de Bogota 83. Lost. Odds: Motilones del Norte 1.65, Piratas de Bogota 2.05.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Piratas de Bogota.
- +9.7 points at home — Piratas de Bogota averaged 84.4 at home and 74.7 away this season.
- −8.7 points away — Motilones del Norte averaged 88.4 at home and 79.7 away this season.
- 155.6 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 162.5.
- 2nd vs 1st in the LBP standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| PDB moneyline | 1.66 | moved up 1.70 |
| MDN moneyline | 2.05 | moved down 2.00 |
| Total points | 162.5 | 162.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
LBP standings
Clausura · Group A
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 21 | 1035 | 980 | +55 | |
| 2 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 934 | 917 | +17 | |
| 3 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 947 | 899 | +48 | |
| 4 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 799 | 919 | −120 |
- Clausura - Playoffs: Semi-finals
- Clausura - Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Piratas de Bogota host Motilones del Norte in the LBP on Tuesday, October 13, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.