Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors prediction
Phoenix Suns
22
35
45
29
Golden State Warriors
25
29
38
30
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 85%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Phoenix Suns131117Golden State Warriors122105Phoenix Suns131117Golden State Warriors122105Total 222 Margin PHX by 12 Win PHX 75% Actual 253 · PHX won
Phoenix Suns
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Golden State Warriors
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors
Phoenix Suns
Golden State Warriors
Last 30 and 7 games with full stats · all competitions
Phoenix Suns at home, last 29 games · Golden State Warriors away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Phoenix Suns 2, Golden State Warriors 3.
- Average total 212.4 points per meeting
- Over 221.5 2 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting PHX by 15 Apr 17, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 17, 2026 NBA Phoenix Suns 111–96 Golden State Warriors 207 pts
- Feb 5, 2026 NBA Phoenix Suns 97–101 Golden State Warriors 198 pts
- Dec 20, 2025 NBA Golden State Warriors 119–116 Phoenix Suns 235 pts
- Dec 18, 2025 NBA Phoenix Suns 99–98 Golden State Warriors 197 pts
- Nov 4, 2025 NBA Golden State Warriors 118–107 Phoenix Suns 225 pts
Last five games
Phoenix Suns
1-4 - Oct 21: Portland Trail Blazers 124, Phoenix Suns 83. Lost. Odds: Portland Trail Blazers 1.62, Phoenix Suns 2.36.
- Oct 16: Phoenix Suns 116, Utah Jazz 119. Lost. Odds: Phoenix Suns 1.50, Utah Jazz 2.40.
- Oct 14: San Antonio Spurs 123, Phoenix Suns 103. Lost. Odds: San Antonio Spurs 1.20, Phoenix Suns 4.30.
- Oct 10: Phoenix Suns 102, San Antonio Spurs 98. Won. Odds: Phoenix Suns 3.02, San Antonio Spurs 1.35.
- Oct 7: Chicago Bulls 124, Phoenix Suns 117. Lost. Odds: Chicago Bulls 2.11, Phoenix Suns 1.68.
Golden State Warriors
3-2 - Oct 23: Golden State Warriors 108, Memphis Grizzlies 111. Lost. Odds: Golden State Warriors 1.59, Memphis Grizzlies 2.44.
- Oct 21: Los Angeles Lakers 127, Golden State Warriors 105. Lost. Odds: Los Angeles Lakers 1.43, Golden State Warriors 2.85.
- Oct 16: Golden State Warriors 128, Portland Trail Blazers 118. Won. Odds: Golden State Warriors 2.04, Portland Trail Blazers 1.69.
- Oct 13: Los Angeles Lakers 89, Golden State Warriors 101. Won. Odds: Los Angeles Lakers 2.08, Golden State Warriors 1.70.
- Oct 10: Golden State Warriors 111, Sacramento Kings 106. Won. Odds: Golden State Warriors 1.39, Sacramento Kings 2.84.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for Golden State Warriors, who played yesterday.
- 3-game losing streak for Phoenix Suns coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Phoenix Suns dropped from 1.45 to 1.23 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved down from 225.5 to 221.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 7.2 — Phoenix Suns −3.2 per 100 possessions, Golden State Warriors +4.0.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| PHX moneyline | 1.45 | moved down 1.23 |
| GSW moneyline | 2.60 | moved up 4.35 |
| Total points | 225.5 | moved down 221.5 |
| PHX spread | −5.5 | moved down −9.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBA standings
Pre-season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Memphis Grizzlies |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 470 | 443 | +27 |
| 2 |  Utah Jazz |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 453 | 439 | +14 |
| 3 |  New Orleans Pelicans |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 442 | 441 | +1 |
| 4 | Golden State Warriors |
6 | 4 | 2 | .667 | 683 | 638 | +45 |
| 5 |  Houston Rockets |
3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 366 | 338 | +28 |
| 6 |  Portland Trail Blazers |
3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 351 | 344 | +7 |
| 7 |  Los Angeles Clippers |
3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 332 | 325 | +7 |
| 8 |  Denver Nuggets |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 578 | 571 | +7 |
| 9 |  Minnesota Timberwolves |
6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 697 | 709 | −12 |
| 10 |  San Antonio Spurs |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 572 | 544 | +28 |
| 11 |  Los Angeles Lakers |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 534 | 559 | −25 |
| 12 |  Dallas Mavericks |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 457 | 486 | −29 |
| 13 | Phoenix Suns |
5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 545 | 573 | −28 |
| 14 |  Oklahoma City Thunder |
5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 549 | 585 | −36 |
| 15 |  Sacramento Kings |
5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 514 | 588 | −74 |
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Phoenix Suns host Golden State Warriors in the NBA on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.