Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets prediction


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3 picks graded · Average confidence 74%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 229 Margin PHX by 1 Win PHX 52% Actual 247 · DEN won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets
Last 30 and 5 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Phoenix Suns 0, Denver Nuggets 3.
- Average total 244.7 points per meeting
- Over 231.5 3 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting DEN by 2 Mar 24, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 24, 2026 NBA Phoenix Suns 123–125 Denver Nuggets 248 pts
- Nov 29, 2025 NBA Phoenix Suns 112–130 Denver Nuggets 242 pts
- Oct 25, 2025 NBA Denver Nuggets 133–111 Phoenix Suns 244 pts
Last five games
- Oct 26: Oklahoma City Thunder 125, Phoenix Suns 114. Lost. Odds: Oklahoma City Thunder 1.30, Phoenix Suns 3.65.
- Oct 24: Phoenix Suns 131, Golden State Warriors 122. Won. Odds: Phoenix Suns 1.23, Golden State Warriors 4.35.
- Oct 21: Portland Trail Blazers 124, Phoenix Suns 83. Lost. Odds: Portland Trail Blazers 1.62, Phoenix Suns 2.36.
- Oct 16: Phoenix Suns 116, Utah Jazz 119. Lost. Odds: Phoenix Suns 1.50, Utah Jazz 2.40.
- Oct 14: San Antonio Spurs 123, Phoenix Suns 103. Lost. Odds: San Antonio Spurs 1.20, Phoenix Suns 4.30.
- Oct 28: New Orleans Pelicans 91, Denver Nuggets 104. Won. Odds: New Orleans Pelicans 2.51, Denver Nuggets 1.55.
- Oct 26: Denver Nuggets 114, Golden State Warriors 134. Lost. Odds: Denver Nuggets 1.36, Golden State Warriors 3.25.
- Oct 24: Denver Nuggets 141, New Orleans Pelicans 135. After overtime. Won. Odds: Denver Nuggets 1.19, New Orleans Pelicans 4.90.
- Oct 22: Oklahoma City Thunder 96, Denver Nuggets 84. Lost. Odds: Oklahoma City Thunder 1.30, Denver Nuggets 3.65.
- Oct 16: Los Angeles Lakers 106, Denver Nuggets 121. Won. Odds: Los Angeles Lakers 1.61, Denver Nuggets 2.17.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Rest advantage: 3 days off for Phoenix Suns, 1 for Denver Nuggets.
- 3-0 in the last 3 meetings for Denver Nuggets.
- Over/under moved up from 228.5 to 231.5 since it was first published.
- −14.1 points away — Denver Nuggets averaged 121.3 at home and 107.2 away this season.
- 1-4 in the last five for Phoenix Suns.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| PHX moneyline | 2.41 | moved up 2.47 |
| DEN moneyline | 1.60 | moved down 1.57 |
| Total points | 228.5 | moved up 231.5 |
| PHX spread | +4.5 | +4.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBA standings
Pre-season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 470 | 443 | +27 | |
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 453 | 439 | +14 | |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 442 | 441 | +1 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | .667 | 683 | 638 | +45 | |
| 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 366 | 338 | +28 | |
| 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 351 | 344 | +7 | |
| 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 332 | 325 | +7 | |
| 8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 578 | 571 | +7 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 697 | 709 | −12 | |
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 572 | 544 | +28 | |
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 534 | 559 | −25 | |
| 12 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 457 | 486 | −29 | |
| 13 | 5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 545 | 573 | −28 | |
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 549 | 585 | −36 | |
| 15 | 5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 514 | 588 | −74 |
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Phoenix Suns host Denver Nuggets in the NBA on Friday, October 30, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.