Phoenix Fuelmasters vs Meralco Bolts Prediction & Odds

Governors Cup Friday, October 16, 2026Fri, Oct 16 Start07:30ET

Phoenix FuelmastersHome · 5-5 · 4th · 2.39

10520223231

Meralco BoltsAway · 4-6 · 5th · 1.51

10127252425

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Phoenix Fuelmasters 20 22 32 31

Meralco Bolts 27 25 24 25

FT Philippines

Best tip of the game

Point spread Won

PHO +6.5 1.52 61%

Phoenix Fuelmasters +6.5 on the spread edge +8.9%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Won PHO +6.5 1.52 Phoenix Fuelmasters +6.5 on the spread Confidence61% model 69.0% · market 60.1% edge +8.9%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 57%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 2.39 52.7% 43.0% +9.7% 53% Won

Total points O196.5 1.75 56.2% 56.7% −0.5% 57% Won

Point spread PHO +6.5 1.52 69.0% 60.1% +8.9% 61% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Phoenix Fuelmasters105103

Meralco Bolts10197

Total 200 actual 206

Winning margin PHO by 6 actual PHO by 4

Chance to win PHO 63% PHO won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Phoenix Fuelmasters105103

Meralco Bolts10197

Total 200 Margin PHO by 6 Win PHO 63% Actual 206 · PHO won

Last five games

Phoenix Fuelmasters 2-3

Aug 12: Magnolia Hotshots 115, Phoenix Fuelmasters 101. Lost. No odds on record.
Aug 5: Blackwater Bossing 106, Phoenix Fuelmasters 100. Lost. No odds on record.
Jul 28: Phoenix Fuelmasters 102, Blackwater Bossing 93. Won. No odds on record.
Jul 21: Phoenix Fuelmasters 98, Rain or Shine Elasto Painters 105. Lost. No odds on record.
Jul 19: Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 78, Phoenix Fuelmasters 81. Won. No odds on record.

Meralco Bolts 2-3

Oct 13: Meralco Bolts 120, Blackwater Bossing 115. Won. Odds: Meralco Bolts 1.21, Blackwater Bossing 4.07.
Aug 14: Meralco Bolts 97, Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 88. Won. No odds on record.
Aug 7: Magnolia Hotshots 105, Meralco Bolts 88. Lost. No odds on record.
Aug 2: Rain or Shine Elasto Painters 85, Meralco Bolts 83. Lost. No odds on record.
Jul 31: Meralco Bolts 75, Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 84. Lost. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
PHO moneyline	2.15	moved up 2.39
MER moneyline	1.62	moved down 1.51
Total points	193.5	moved up 202.5
PHO spread	+2.5	moved up +3.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

Governors Cup standings

Regular Season · Group B

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Magnolia Hotshots	10	7	3	17	1010	942	+68
2	Rain or Shine Elasto Painters	10	6	4	16	1092	1092	0
3	Barangay Ginebra San Miguel	10	5	5	15	966	944	+22
4	Phoenix Fuelmasters	10	5	5	15	975	1020	−45
5	Meralco Bolts	10	4	6	14	997	1020	−23
6	Blackwater Bossing	10	3	7	13	1053	1075	−22

Playoffs: Quarter-finals

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Phoenix Fuelmasters host Meralco Bolts in the Governors Cup on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.

All predictions