Philippines vs Kazakhstan Prediction & Odds

Asian Games Women Thursday, September 17, 2026Thu, Sep 17 Start03:00ET

PhilippinesHome · 2-1 · 2nd · 1.01

8625242710

KazakhstanAway · 1-2 · 3rd · 11.00

58923818

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Philippines 25 24 27 10

Kazakhstan 9 23 8 18

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Won

1 1.01 50%

Philippines to win edge −6.6%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Won 1 1.01 Philippines to win Confidence50% model 82.8% · market 89.4% edge −6.6%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 50%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.01 82.8% 89.4% −6.6% 50% Won

Total points O142.5 1.85 54.5% 50.0% +4.5% 50% Won

Point spread KAZ +19.5 1.83 56.2% 50.0% +6.2% 50% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Philippines8681

Kazakhstan5864

Total 145 actual 144

Winning margin PHI by 17 actual PHI by 28

Chance to win PHI 83% PHI won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Philippines8681

Kazakhstan5864

Total 145 Margin PHI by 17 Win PHI 83% Actual 144 · PHI won

Last five games

Philippines 2-2

Oct 2, 2023: South Korea 93, Philippines 71. Lost. No odds on record.
Oct 1, 2023: Japan 96, Philippines 59. Lost. No odds on record.
Sep 29, 2023: Hong Kong 63, Philippines 99. Won. No odds on record.
Sep 27, 2023: Philippines 83, Kazakhstan 59. Won. No odds on record.

Kazakhstan 0-3

Oct 1, 2023: Kazakhstan 56, Hong Kong 70. Lost. No odds on record.
Sep 29, 2023: Kazakhstan 30, Japan 92. Lost. No odds on record.
Sep 27, 2023: Philippines 83, Kazakhstan 59. Lost. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
PHI moneyline	1.02	moved down 1.01
KAZ moneyline	10.00	moved up 11.00
Total points	142.5	moved down 140.5
PHI spread · regulation	−19.5	moved down −21.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

Asian Games Women standings

Regular Season · Group B

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Japan	3	3	0	6	291	127	+164
2	Philippines	3	2	1	5	243	220	+23
3	Kazakhstan	3	1	2	4	161	251	−90
4	Hong Kong	3	0	3	3	187	284	−97

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Ranking of third-placed teams

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Philippines host Kazakhstan in the Asian Games Women on Thursday, September 17, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.

All predictions